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TEN logo

Tennessee Titans

2022 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-10
nfelo Rating
137027th
Point Diff / Game
-3.626th
Net EPA / Play
-0.07626th

2022 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
NYG logo
NYG
L
20-21
-1
-5.5
L
-16
2
BUF logo
BUF@
L
07-41
-34
+10
L
-22
3
OAK logo
OAK
W
24-22
+2
+2
W
0
4
IND logo
IND@
W
24-17
+7
+4
W
9
5
WAS logo
WAS@
W
21-17
+4
-3
6BYE WEEK
7
IND logo
IND
W
19-10
+9
-2.5
W
-25
8
HOU logo
HOU@
W
17-10
+7
-1
W
2
9
KC logo
KC@
L
17-20
-3
+14
W
72
10
DEN logo
DEN
W
17-10
+7
-2.5
W
12
11
GB logo
GB@
W
27-17
+10
+3
W
16
12
CIN logo
CIN
L
16-20
-4
+2
L
-15
13
PHI logo
PHI@
L
10-35
-25
+5
L
-16
14
JAX logo
JAX
L
22-36
-14
-4
L
-15
15
LAC logo
LAC@
L
14-17
-3
+3
P
-86
16
HOU logo
HOU
L
14-19
-5
-3
L
-10
17
DAL logo
DAL
L
13-27
-14
+13.5
L
-38
18
JAX logo
JAX@
L
16-20
-4
+6
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.09
25th
EPA / Pass
-0.07
23rd
EPA / Rush
-0.08
26th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.01
16th
EPA / Pass
+0.07
28th
EPA / Rush
-0.13
1st
Sack EPA
-5.07
26th
Turnover EPA
-5.59
13th
Point Differential
-3.6
26th
Points For
17.5
28th
Points Against
21.1
12th
Total Yards
296.9
30th
Passing Yards
171.5
24th
Rushing Yards
125.4
13th
Total Yards Allowed
352.0
23rd
Passing Allowed
253.4
32nd
Rushing Allowed
77.0
1st

Conversions For

3rd Down
37%
23rd
4th Down
53%
14th
Red Zone
64%
6th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
34%
3rd
4th Down
73%
32nd
Red Zone
55%
14th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.2
9th
Created
1.4
15th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
9th
Created
0.8
13th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
11th
Created
0.5
14th