SF49ers
6-9
26
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
32°F
4 mph
23
DENBroncos
9-6
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
32°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
49ers
0
3
8
6
3
20
Broncos
3
4
3
7
0
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
357
325
Total Plays
76
64
Yards / Play
4.7
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.11
-0.23
Passing Yards
168
210
Comp/Att
17/33(52%)
21/34(62%)
Yards / Pass
5.1
6.2
EPA / Pass
-0.35
-0.30
Rushing Yards
189
115
Rush Attempts
38
27
Yards / Rush
5.0
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.02
-0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
19
Passing 1st downs
10
12
Rushing 1st downs
7
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
4
3rd Down %
45%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
9
3
3rd Down Attempts
20
13
Red Zone %
0%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-9.77
-13.84
Sacks
5
3
Sack Yards
-26
-20
Sack EPA
-6.67
-4.36
Penalties
8
8
Penalty Yards
61
49
Penalty EPA
-5.95
-5.71
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
SF49ersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
49ers Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
6
Yards / Game
26
15
Passing Yards / Game
31
14
Rushing Yards / Game
6
12
EPA
EPA / Play
25
7
EPA / Pass
25
10
EPA / Rush
17
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
20
Interceptions / Game
13
15
Fumbles / Game
30
9
Turnover EPA / Game
10
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
13
4th Down Efficiency
10
5
RZ Efficiency
29
7
Broncos Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
32
Yards / Game
21
26
Passing Yards / Game
27
26
Rushing Yards / Game
8
18
EPA
EPA / Play
17
30
EPA / Pass
23
31
EPA / Rush
9
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
13
Interceptions / Game
20
22
Fumbles / Game
17
9
Turnover EPA / Game
12
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
30
4th Down Efficiency
12
12
RZ Efficiency
11
15
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
49ers
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U