CHI logo
CHI
4-8
13
38
SF
5-7
SF logo
TBD
Levi's Stadium
65°F
4 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
0
6
7
13
49ers
14
10
0
14
38

Spread

SF logo
-3

Total

OVER
43.5

Game Statistics

General
Bears logo
49ers logo
Total Yards
162
452
Total Plays
53
61
Yards / Play
3.1
7.4
EPA / Play
-0.09
+0.39
Passing Yards
94
321
Comp/Att
18/25(72%)
20/26(77%)
Yards / Pass
3.8
12.3
EPA / Pass
-0.29
+0.81
Rushing Yards
68
131
Rush Attempts
21
34
Yards / Rush
3.2
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.05
+0.10
Downs & Conversions
Bears logo
49ers logo
1st Downs
14
22
Passing 1st downs
10
13
Rushing 1st downs
4
8
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
40%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
10
12
Red Zone %
100%
83%
Red Zone Conversions
2
5
Red Zone Attempts
2
6
Negative Plays
Bears logo
49ers logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.57
-1.69
Sacks
7
1
Sack Yards
-46
-4
Sack EPA
-14.58
-1.23
Penalties
2
7
Penalty Yards
30
31
Penalty EPA
-2.61
-4.11

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SF logo
SFFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0

Win Probability

Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+90
Home nfelo
1,547
Away nfelo
1,517
Home Field
+47.4
Base HFA
+40.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+7.2
Net QB Adjustment
+12.2
Home QB Adjustment
+7.7
Away QB Adjustment
-4.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0

Team Matchup Ranks

Bears Offense vs 49ers Defense
Bears logo
49ers logo

Total

Points / Game
28
29
Yards / Game
32
7
Passing Yards / Game
20
2
Rushing Yards / Game
24
18

EPA

EPA / Play
27
30
EPA / Pass
26
14
EPA / Rush
20
29

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
15
21
Interceptions / Game
6
18
Fumbles / Game
13
19
Turnover EPA / Game
24
15

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
31
25
4th Down Efficiency
12
26
RZ Efficiency
9
31
49ers Offense vs Bears Defense
49ers logo
Bears logo

Total

Points / Game
14
14
Yards / Game
4
27
Passing Yards / Game
2
29
Rushing Yards / Game
11
27

EPA

EPA / Play
11
17
EPA / Pass
9
10
EPA / Rush
13
23

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
10
1
Interceptions / Game
26
18
Fumbles / Game
22
3
Turnover EPA / Game
7
21

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
9
12
4th Down Efficiency
23
5
RZ Efficiency
14
3