CINBengals
11-4
3
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
52°F
10 mph
37
KCChiefs
9-6
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
52°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bengals
3
0
0
0
3
Chiefs
3
17
10
7
37
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
161
537
Total Plays
55
63
Yards / Play
2.9
8.5
EPA / Play
-0.14
+0.40
Passing Yards
124
335
Comp/Att
18/32(56%)
23/29(79%)
Yards / Pass
3.9
11.6
EPA / Pass
-0.34
+0.59
Rushing Yards
37
202
Rush Attempts
22
32
Yards / Rush
1.7
6.3
EPA / Rush
-0.17
+0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
24
Passing 1st downs
7
13
Rushing 1st downs
3
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
38%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
16
11
Red Zone %
NaN%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
--
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-6.70
-4.46
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-6
-9
Sack EPA
-0.34
-2.68
Penalties
6
9
Penalty Yards
50
80
Penalty EPA
-3.71
-3.91
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CINBengalsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Bengals Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
16
Yards / Game
4
26
Passing Yards / Game
9
30
Rushing Yards / Game
12
8
EPA
EPA / Play
5
27
EPA / Pass
5
28
EPA / Rush
6
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
17
Interceptions / Game
13
14
Fumbles / Game
1
9
Turnover EPA / Game
27
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
15
4th Down Efficiency
30
10
RZ Efficiency
11
6
Chiefs Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
23
Yards / Game
1
28
Passing Yards / Game
6
16
Rushing Yards / Game
4
21
EPA
EPA / Play
2
29
EPA / Pass
6
22
EPA / Rush
3
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
31
Interceptions / Game
3
1
Fumbles / Game
23
15
Turnover EPA / Game
23
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
31
4th Down Efficiency
6
16
RZ Efficiency
14
26
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Bengals
7-3
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U