DENBroncos
7-5
20
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
57°F
13 mph
48
LACChargers
10-2
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
57°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Broncos
0
3
17
0
20
Chargers
14
14
0
20
48
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
328
419
Total Plays
62
60
Yards / Play
5.3
7.0
EPA / Play
-0.08
+0.35
Passing Yards
166
272
Comp/Att
17/30(57%)
15/23(65%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
11.8
EPA / Pass
-0.21
+0.65
Rushing Yards
162
147
Rush Attempts
28
35
Yards / Rush
5.8
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.04
+0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
22
Passing 1st downs
9
11
Rushing 1st downs
7
11
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
20%
62%
3rd Down Conversions
2
8
3rd Down Attempts
10
13
Red Zone %
33%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
6
Red Zone Attempts
3
8
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.03
-4.73
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-22
-7
Sack EPA
-10.76
-2.36
Penalties
2
5
Penalty Yards
--
38
Penalty EPA
--
-3.36
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DENBroncosFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Broncos Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
8
Yards / Game
21
8
Passing Yards / Game
27
29
Rushing Yards / Game
8
6
EPA
EPA / Play
17
16
EPA / Pass
23
6
EPA / Rush
9
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
22
Interceptions / Game
20
12
Fumbles / Game
17
13
Turnover EPA / Game
12
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
7
4th Down Efficiency
12
2
RZ Efficiency
11
29
Chargers Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
6
Yards / Game
4
15
Passing Yards / Game
18
14
Rushing Yards / Game
2
12
EPA
EPA / Play
1
7
EPA / Pass
2
10
EPA / Rush
1
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
20
Interceptions / Game
3
15
Fumbles / Game
3
9
Turnover EPA / Game
32
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
13
4th Down Efficiency
12
5
RZ Efficiency
1
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Broncos
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chargers
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U