CLEBrowns
2-11
28
TBD
Cinergy Field
41°F
4 mph
44
CINBengals
3-10
TBD
Cinergy Field
41°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
7
8
6
7
28
Bengals
4
20
14
0
38
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
325
459
Total Plays
57
75
Yards / Play
5.7
6.1
EPA / Play
+0.11
+0.27
Passing Yards
312
--
Comp/Att
22/42(52%)
12/24(50%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
--
EPA / Pass
+0.19
+0.38
Rushing Yards
13
279
Rush Attempts
12
53
Yards / Rush
1.1
5.3
EPA / Rush
-0.30
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
25
Passing 1st downs
14
9
Rushing 1st downs
2
15
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
27%
65%
3rd Down Conversions
3
11
3rd Down Attempts
11
17
Red Zone %
80%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
4
4
Red Zone Attempts
5
8
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-11.14
-4.27
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-16
--
Sack EPA
-3.25
--
Penalties
7
9
Penalty Yards
79
84
Penalty EPA
-7.72
-5.40
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
31
Yards / Game
31
26
Passing Yards / Game
24
27
Rushing Yards / Game
31
16
EPA
EPA / Play
24
29
EPA / Pass
27
30
EPA / Rush
17
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
6
Interceptions / Game
5
28
Fumbles / Game
17
10
Turnover EPA / Game
25
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
26
4th Down Efficiency
2
10
RZ Efficiency
1
25
Bengals Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
29
Yards / Game
13
31
Passing Yards / Game
19
2
Rushing Yards / Game
6
31
EPA
EPA / Play
21
31
EPA / Pass
23
29
EPA / Rush
4
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
2
Interceptions / Game
16
31
Fumbles / Game
23
10
Turnover EPA / Game
11
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
31
4th Down Efficiency
26
29
RZ Efficiency
21
26
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
2-8
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
3-7
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U