CLEBrowns
4-8
20
TBD
Paycor Stadium
36°F
18 mph
23
CINBengals
9-3
TBD
Paycor Stadium
36°F
18 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
7
7
3
3
20
Bengals
7
6
7
3
23
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
208
278
Total Plays
52
61
Yards / Play
4.0
4.6
EPA / Play
+0.08
+0.06
Passing Yards
124
--
Comp/Att
16/24(67%)
13/27(48%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
--
EPA / Pass
+0.11
-0.18
Rushing Yards
84
185
Rush Attempts
26
34
Yards / Rush
3.2
5.4
EPA / Rush
-0.15
+0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
18
Passing 1st downs
9
6
Rushing 1st downs
5
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
42%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
67%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.38
-4.27
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-14
--
Sack EPA
-3.66
--
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
45
33
Penalty EPA
-4.04
-5.57
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Browns Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
23
Yards / Game
26
28
Passing Yards / Game
30
16
Rushing Yards / Game
25
21
EPA
EPA / Play
26
29
EPA / Pass
27
22
EPA / Rush
31
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
31
Interceptions / Game
23
1
Fumbles / Game
18
15
Turnover EPA / Game
11
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
31
4th Down Efficiency
23
16
RZ Efficiency
32
26
Bengals Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
11
Yards / Game
4
16
Passing Yards / Game
9
2
Rushing Yards / Game
12
31
EPA
EPA / Play
5
16
EPA / Pass
5
19
EPA / Rush
6
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
6
Interceptions / Game
13
20
Fumbles / Game
1
32
Turnover EPA / Game
27
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
27
4th Down Efficiency
30
17
RZ Efficiency
11
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Browns
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
7-3
SU
5-3-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U