nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. browns @ bengals week 14, 2005

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

CLE logo
CLEBrowns
4-8
20
TBD
Paycor Stadium
36°F
18 mph
23
CINBengals
9-3
CIN logo
TBD
Paycor Stadium
36°F
18 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Browns
7
7
3
3
20
Bengals
7
6
7
3
23

Game Statistics

General
Browns logo
Bengals logo
Total Yards
208
278
Total Plays
52
61
Yards / Play
4.0
4.6
EPA / Play
+0.08
+0.06
Passing Yards
124
--
Comp/Att
16/24(67%)
13/27(48%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
--
EPA / Pass
+0.11
-0.18
Rushing Yards
84
185
Rush Attempts
26
34
Yards / Rush
3.2
5.4
EPA / Rush
-0.15
+0.19
Downs & Conversions
Browns logo
Bengals logo
1st Downs
15
18
Passing 1st downs
9
6
Rushing 1st downs
5
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
42%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
67%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Browns logo
Bengals logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.38
-4.27
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-14
--
Sack EPA
-3.66
--
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
45
33
Penalty EPA
-4.04
-5.57

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
CLE logo
CLEBrownsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Browns Offense vs Bengals Defense
Browns logo
Bengals logo

Total

Points / Game
32
23
Yards / Game
26
28
Passing Yards / Game
30
16
Rushing Yards / Game
25
21

EPA

EPA / Play
26
29
EPA / Pass
27
22
EPA / Rush
31
26

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
1
31
Interceptions / Game
23
1
Fumbles / Game
18
15
Turnover EPA / Game
11
32

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
28
31
4th Down Efficiency
23
16
RZ Efficiency
32
26
Bengals Offense vs Browns Defense
Bengals logo
Browns logo

Total

Points / Game
4
11
Yards / Game
4
16
Passing Yards / Game
9
2
Rushing Yards / Game
12
31

EPA

EPA / Play
5
16
EPA / Pass
5
19
EPA / Rush
6
24

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
6
6
Interceptions / Game
13
20
Fumbles / Game
1
32
Turnover EPA / Game
27
5

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
2
27
4th Down Efficiency
30
17
RZ Efficiency
11
4

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CLE logo

Browns

3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/25
-7
L
W
P
10/09
10
W
W
P
10/16
-13
L
L
P
10/23
-3
L
L
P
10/30
-3
L
L
P
11/06
6
W
W
P
11/13
-13
L
L
P
11/20
22
W
W
P
11/27
-12
L
L
P
12/04
-6
L
L
P
CIN logo

Bengals

7-3
SU
5-3-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/25
17
W
W
P
10/02
6
W
L
P
10/09
-3
L
P
P
10/16
8
W
W
P
10/23
-14
L
L
P
10/30
7
W
P
P
11/06
12
W
W
P
11/20
-8
L
L
P
11/27
13
W
W
P
12/04
7
W
W
P