
TBBuccaneers
-
24
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
013
MINVikings
-

TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Buccaneers
0
17
0
7
24
Vikings
1
0
3
3
7
Game Statistics
General


Total Yards
345
248
Total Plays
62
51
Yards / Play
5.6
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.10
-0.39
Passing Yards
199
222
Comp/Att
18/29(62%)
22/33(67%)
Yards / Pass
6.9
6.7
EPA / Pass
-0.08
-0.24
Rushing Yards
146
26
Rush Attempts
31
16
Yards / Rush
4.7
1.6
EPA / Rush
-0.08
-0.67
Downs & Conversions


1st Downs
12
15
Passing 1st downs
8
9
Rushing 1st downs
4
2
Penalty 1st downs
--
4
3rd Down %
47%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
8
5
3rd Down Attempts
17
11
Red Zone %
33%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays


Turnovers
2
5
Interceptions
2
3
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-13.62
-21.57
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-14
-11
Sack EPA
-2.57
-6.88
Penalties
13
9
Penalty Yards
99
70
Penalty EPA
-5.16
-6.11
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner

TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Buccaneers Offense vs Vikings Defense


Total
Points / Game
22
19
Yards / Game
24
21
Passing Yards / Game
23
7
Rushing Yards / Game
15
19
EPA
EPA / Play
21
9
EPA / Pass
22
16
EPA / Rush
15
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
2
Interceptions / Game
13
2
Fumbles / Game
10
23
Turnover EPA / Game
8
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
30
4th Down Efficiency
17
12
RZ Efficiency
15
9
Vikings Offense vs Buccaneers Defense


Total
Points / Game
19
7
Yards / Game
25
1
Passing Yards / Game
15
15
Rushing Yards / Game
27
5
EPA
EPA / Play
24
3
EPA / Pass
19
5
EPA / Rush
27
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
14
Interceptions / Game
17
13
Fumbles / Game
22
18
Turnover EPA / Game
13
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
7
4th Down Efficiency
17
13
RZ Efficiency
23
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

Buccaneers
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U

Vikings
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U