ARICardinals
2-2
30
TBD
MetLife Stadium
64°F
8 mph
10
NYJJets
0-4
TBD
MetLife Stadium
64°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
7
10
7
6
30
Jets
0
3
7
0
10
Spread
-7
Total
UNDER
48.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
496
285
Total Plays
69
64
Yards / Play
7.2
4.5
EPA / Play
+0.20
-0.16
Passing Yards
369
162
Comp/Att
27/38(71%)
18/33(55%)
Yards / Pass
9.7
4.9
EPA / Pass
+0.33
-0.14
Rushing Yards
127
123
Rush Attempts
30
28
Yards / Rush
4.2
4.4
EPA / Rush
+0.05
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
21
Passing 1st downs
17
8
Rushing 1st downs
9
9
Penalty 1st downs
2
4
3rd Down %
42%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
100%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.54
--
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-11
-33
Sack EPA
-2.11
-4.93
Penalties
10
6
Penalty Yards
59
30
Penalty EPA
-7.84
-3.94
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market73.2%
Model73.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-179
Home nfelo
1,332
Away nfelo
1,481
Home Field
+10.7
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+2.2
Time Adj
+2.3
Net QB Adjustment
-39.5
Home QB Adjustment
-14.5
Away QB Adjustment
+25.0
Market Regression
+15.4
Final Difference
-174.6
Model Spread
+7.0
Quarterbacks
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+1.7
Team Elo Adj
+25.0
J. Flacco
Proj. Value
-0.7
Team Elo Adj
-14.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
26
Yards / Game
6
24
Passing Yards / Game
10
15
Rushing Yards / Game
6
12
EPA
EPA / Play
15
24
EPA / Pass
22
29
EPA / Rush
3
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
9
Interceptions / Game
17
23
Fumbles / Game
23
13
Turnover EPA / Game
8
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
23
4th Down Efficiency
5
5
RZ Efficiency
9
14
Jets Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
12
Yards / Game
32
13
Passing Yards / Game
25
11
Rushing Yards / Game
22
21
EPA
EPA / Play
32
9
EPA / Pass
32
10
EPA / Rush
28
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
22
Interceptions / Game
23
20
Fumbles / Game
5
18
Turnover EPA / Game
19
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
10
4th Down Efficiency
30
26
RZ Efficiency
32
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
4-6
SU
4-4-2
ATS
3-7
O/U
Jets
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
4-6
O/U