ARICardinals
0-1
29
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
023
OAKRaiders
0-1
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
0
0
7
16
23
Raiders
7
13
3
0
23
Spread
+5.5
Total
OVER
51.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
417
324
Total Plays
80
61
Yards / Play
5.2
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.05
-0.03
Passing Yards
272
244
Comp/Att
31/50(62%)
25/39(64%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
6.3
EPA / Pass
-0.16
-0.09
Rushing Yards
145
80
Rush Attempts
29
21
Yards / Rush
5.0
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.36
-0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
20
Passing 1st downs
13
14
Rushing 1st downs
11
4
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
23%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
75%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-3.70
-8.91
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-7
-8
Sack EPA
-1.96
-2.32
Penalties
12
10
Penalty Yards
120
68
Penalty EPA
-11.89
-10.31
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-5.0
Current
-5.5
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market68.0%
Model64.5%
Spread Pick
Cardinals+5.5
Expected Value
+0.8%
Cover Probability
52.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+59
Home nfelo
1,501
Away nfelo
1,467
Home Field
+37.4
Base HFA
+37.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-12.8
Home QB Adjustment
-13.7
Away QB Adjustment
-0.9
Market Regression
-7.1
Final Difference
103.4
Model Spread
-4.0
Quarterbacks
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
-0.9
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
-13.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
26
Yards / Game
22
27
Passing Yards / Game
7
5
Rushing Yards / Game
22
19
EPA
EPA / Play
30
25
EPA / Pass
28
30
EPA / Rush
15
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
25
Interceptions / Game
28
31
Fumbles / Game
7
25
Turnover EPA / Game
9
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
25
4th Down Efficiency
24
20
RZ Efficiency
11
31
Raiders Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
31
Yards / Game
12
21
Passing Yards / Game
15
4
Rushing Yards / Game
17
14
EPA
EPA / Play
13
21
EPA / Pass
14
22
EPA / Rush
13
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
10
Interceptions / Game
28
22
Fumbles / Game
1
10
Turnover EPA / Game
8
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
27
4th Down Efficiency
9
15
RZ Efficiency
26
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
3-7
SU
3-7
ATS
5-5
O/U
Raiders
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U