ARICardinals
4-9
27
TBD
Lumen Field
43°F
7 mph
13
SEASeahawks
11-3
TBD
Lumen Field
43°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cardinals
7
10
3
7
27
Seahawks
7
0
0
6
13
Spread
+8
Total
UNDER
51
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
412
224
Total Plays
69
56
Yards / Play
6.0
4.0
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.32
Passing Yards
159
133
Comp/Att
15/27(56%)
16/31(52%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
4.3
EPA / Pass
+0.01
-0.31
Rushing Yards
253
91
Rush Attempts
40
20
Yards / Rush
6.3
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.16
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
13
Passing 1st downs
8
8
Rushing 1st downs
12
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
33%
8%
3rd Down Conversions
5
1
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-2.29
Sacks
2
5
Sack Yards
-8
-36
Sack EPA
-3.72
-5.39
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
47
55
Penalty EPA
-2.24
-6.08
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-8.0
Model
-10.0
Win Probability
Market75.7%
Model79.5%
Spread Pick
Seahawks-8.0
Expected Value
+17.4%
Cover Probability
60.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+269
Home nfelo
1,599
Away nfelo
1,355
Home Field
+41.7
Base HFA
+46.5
Divisional Adj
-20.9
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+16.2
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-16.4
Home QB Adjustment
+0.4
Away QB Adjustment
+16.9
Market Regression
-0.5
Final Difference
235.0
Model Spread
-10.0
Quarterbacks
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+16.9
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+0.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
19
Yards / Game
22
23
Passing Yards / Game
22
7
Rushing Yards / Game
10
22
EPA
EPA / Play
17
19
EPA / Pass
19
18
EPA / Rush
5
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
9
Interceptions / Game
16
9
Fumbles / Game
4
4
Turnover EPA / Game
25
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
18
4th Down Efficiency
2
20
RZ Efficiency
30
23
Seahawks Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
28
Yards / Game
6
32
Passing Yards / Game
10
32
Rushing Yards / Game
6
23
EPA
EPA / Play
9
28
EPA / Pass
7
30
EPA / Rush
19
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
6
Interceptions / Game
1
30
Fumbles / Game
31
14
Turnover EPA / Game
20
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
30
4th Down Efficiency
10
1
RZ Efficiency
7
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
4-6
SU
6-3-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Seahawks
8-2
SU
5-4-1
ATS
6-4
O/U