ARICardinals
8-5
37
TBD
Nissan Stadium
37°F
4 mph
34
TENTitans
5-8
TBD
Nissan Stadium
37°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Cardinals
7
3
10
8
3
31
Titans
10
0
7
17
0
34
Spread
3
P
Total
OVER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
360
460
Total Plays
68
80
Yards / Play
5.3
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.23
+0.09
Passing Yards
215
394
Comp/Att
20/30(67%)
36/58(62%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.42
+0.14
Rushing Yards
145
66
Rush Attempts
36
19
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.5
EPA / Rush
-0.00
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
32
Passing 1st downs
12
23
Rushing 1st downs
11
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
6
3rd Down %
50%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
7
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
60%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-16.29
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-16
-8
Sack EPA
-0.72
-3.71
Penalties
9
3
Penalty Yards
69
16
Penalty EPA
-6.45
-4.37
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-69
Home nfelo
1,405
Away nfelo
1,519
Home Field
+51.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-6.9
Home QB Adjustment
+13.1
Away QB Adjustment
+20.0
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+20.0
R. Fitzpatrick
Proj. Value
+0.4
Team Elo Adj
+13.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Cardinals Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
16
Yards / Game
14
14
Passing Yards / Game
3
8
Rushing Yards / Game
24
19
EPA
EPA / Play
21
22
EPA / Pass
19
15
EPA / Rush
26
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
23
Interceptions / Game
28
22
Fumbles / Game
13
1
Turnover EPA / Game
4
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
6
4th Down Efficiency
12
27
RZ Efficiency
24
27
Titans Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
6
Yards / Game
21
6
Passing Yards / Game
15
18
Rushing Yards / Game
14
1
EPA
EPA / Play
16
2
EPA / Pass
13
4
EPA / Rush
12
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
18
Interceptions / Game
18
5
Fumbles / Game
5
16
Turnover EPA / Game
20
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
11
4th Down Efficiency
7
8
RZ Efficiency
9
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cardinals
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U
Titans
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
7-2-1
O/U