LACChargers
-
17
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
018
ARICardinals
-
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
0
3
14
0
17
Cardinals
0
6
0
12
18
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
290
403
Total Plays
60
67
Yards / Play
4.8
6.0
EPA / Play
-0.15
-0.14
Passing Yards
--
294
Comp/Att
21/36(58%)
24/38(63%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.7
EPA / Pass
+0.02
+0.16
Rushing Yards
52
109
Rush Attempts
24
27
Yards / Rush
2.2
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.37
-0.35
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
22
Passing 1st downs
9
14
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
40%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
13
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
-2.55
-9.83
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-10
Sack EPA
--
-6.01
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
47
23
Penalty EPA
-6.34
-4.08
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model54.1%
Spread Pick
Chargers+3.0
Expected Value
+6.4%
Cover Probability
51.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-5
Home nfelo
1,511
Away nfelo
1,564
Home Field
+51.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-3.6
Home QB Adjustment
+2.7
Away QB Adjustment
+6.3
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
28.4
Model Spread
-2.0
Quarterbacks
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+6.3
C. Palmer
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+2.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
5
Yards / Game
19
25
Passing Yards / Game
8
26
Rushing Yards / Game
30
17
EPA
EPA / Play
12
3
EPA / Pass
7
6
EPA / Rush
27
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
22
Interceptions / Game
26
9
Fumbles / Game
2
24
Turnover EPA / Game
23
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
8
4th Down Efficiency
19
5
RZ Efficiency
15
3
Cardinals Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
12
Yards / Game
28
10
Passing Yards / Game
28
1
Rushing Yards / Game
31
25
EPA
EPA / Play
26
23
EPA / Pass
20
21
EPA / Rush
31
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
16
Interceptions / Game
13
28
Fumbles / Game
5
6
Turnover EPA / Game
19
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
24
4th Down Efficiency
1
3
RZ Efficiency
28
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U
Cardinals
7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
6-4
O/U