LACChargers
7-7
14
TBD
MetLife Stadium
40°F
6 mph
7
NYJJets
5-9
TBD
MetLife Stadium
40°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
0
7
7
0
14
Jets
0
0
7
0
7
Spread
7
P
Total
UNDER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
379
295
Total Plays
70
61
Yards / Play
5.4
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.04
-0.21
Passing Yards
--
98
Comp/Att
22/40(55%)
15/28(54%)
Yards / Pass
--
3.5
EPA / Pass
+0.17
-0.52
Rushing Yards
89
197
Rush Attempts
30
30
Yards / Rush
3.0
6.6
EPA / Rush
-0.16
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
13
Passing 1st downs
14
5
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
33%
21%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-5.60
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-21
Sack EPA
--
-4.11
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
80
34
Penalty EPA
-7.02
-4.77
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-7.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market73.2%
Model73.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-153
Home nfelo
1,395
Away nfelo
1,549
Home Field
+105.3
Base HFA
+55.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.5
Time Adj
+30.0
Net QB Adjustment
-105.1
Home QB Adjustment
-92.2
Away QB Adjustment
+12.9
Market Regression
+15.4
Final Difference
-174.6
Model Spread
+7.0
Quarterbacks
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+12.9
B. Petty
Proj. Value
-5.1
Team Elo Adj
-92.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Chargers Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
22
Yards / Game
5
26
Passing Yards / Game
16
5
Rushing Yards / Game
24
24
EPA
EPA / Play
8
22
EPA / Pass
4
22
EPA / Rush
21
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
7
Interceptions / Game
10
18
Fumbles / Game
1
8
Turnover EPA / Game
30
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
10
4th Down Efficiency
18
14
RZ Efficiency
27
21
Jets Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
1
Yards / Game
28
14
Passing Yards / Game
22
18
Rushing Yards / Game
19
31
EPA
EPA / Play
23
10
EPA / Pass
18
3
EPA / Rush
23
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
32
Interceptions / Game
13
5
Fumbles / Game
23
14
Turnover EPA / Game
20
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
19
4th Down Efficiency
8
5
RZ Efficiency
10
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chargers
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
2-8
O/U
Jets
3-7
SU
6-3-1
ATS
6-4
O/U