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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. chargers @ packers week 3, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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LAC logo
LACChargers
1-1
24
TBD
Lambeau Field
73°F
11 mph
31
GBPackers
2-0
GB logo
TBD
Lambeau Field
73°F
11 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Chargers
7
7
7
3
24
Packers
3
14
0
14
31

Game Statistics

General
Chargers logo
Packers logo
Total Yards
364
405
Total Plays
66
60
Yards / Play
5.5
6.8
EPA / Play
+0.14
+0.26
Passing Yards
291
363
Comp/Att
27/36(75%)
28/45(62%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
8.1
EPA / Pass
+0.38
+0.27
Rushing Yards
73
42
Rush Attempts
28
13
Yards / Rush
2.6
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
Chargers logo
Packers logo
1st Downs
25
20
Passing 1st downs
17
15
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
45%
45%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
11
11
Red Zone %
100%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Chargers logo
Packers logo
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-6.12
--
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-15
-6
Sack EPA
-3.06
-2.46
Penalties
8
5
Penalty Yards
70
38
Penalty EPA
-7.61
-5.24

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
LAC logo
LACChargersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Chargers Offense vs Packers Defense
Chargers logo
Packers logo

Total

Points / Game
10
7
Yards / Game
20
10
Passing Yards / Game
31
14
Rushing Yards / Game
9
12

EPA

EPA / Play
12
11
EPA / Pass
8
8
EPA / Rush
18
16

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
27
30
Interceptions / Game
17
17
Fumbles / Game
5
30
Turnover EPA / Game
21
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
15
3
4th Down Efficiency
6
4
RZ Efficiency
15
9
Packers Offense vs Chargers Defense
Packers logo
Chargers logo

Total

Points / Game
4
4
Yards / Game
2
14
Passing Yards / Game
16
16
Rushing Yards / Game
19
15

EPA

EPA / Play
5
1
EPA / Pass
5
4
EPA / Rush
20
11

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
18
27
Interceptions / Game
12
1
Fumbles / Game
21
7
Turnover EPA / Game
29
32

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
9
19
4th Down Efficiency
15
6
RZ Efficiency
8
13

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

LAC logo

Chargers

8-2
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/19
8
W
W
P
11/26
7
W
L
P
12/03
3
W
L
P
12/10
28
W
W
P
12/17
11
W
W
P
12/24
3
W
L
P
12/31
7
W
L
P
01/14
-3
L
L
P
09/09
11
W
W
P
09/16
-24
L
L
P
GB logo

Packers

7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/12
6
W
W
P
11/19
-35
L
L
P
11/27
-10
L
P
P
12/03
-28
L
L
P
12/10
11
W
W
P
12/17
8
W
W
P
12/21
2
W
L
P
12/31
19
W
W
P
09/09
3
W
W
P
09/16
22
W
W
P