INDColts
9-0
45
TBD
Paycor Stadium
55°F
10 mph
37
CINBengals
7-2
TBD
Paycor Stadium
55°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
14
21
7
3
45
Bengals
10
17
7
3
37
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
451
492
Total Plays
71
65
Yards / Play
6.4
7.6
EPA / Play
+0.45
+0.30
Passing Yards
359
328
Comp/Att
24/40(60%)
25/38(66%)
Yards / Pass
9.0
8.6
EPA / Pass
+0.49
+0.25
Rushing Yards
92
164
Rush Attempts
30
26
Yards / Rush
3.1
6.3
EPA / Rush
+0.16
+0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
23
Passing 1st downs
15
13
Rushing 1st downs
11
9
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
57%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
8
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
83%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
5
3
Red Zone Attempts
6
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.34
-2.36
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-6
-7
Sack EPA
-1.24
-1.36
Penalties
4
9
Penalty Yards
30
85
Penalty EPA
+0.87
-10.53
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Bengals Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
23
Yards / Game
3
28
Passing Yards / Game
11
16
Rushing Yards / Game
19
21
EPA
EPA / Play
1
29
EPA / Pass
1
22
EPA / Rush
9
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
31
Interceptions / Game
5
1
Fumbles / Game
5
15
Turnover EPA / Game
30
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
31
4th Down Efficiency
8
16
RZ Efficiency
7
26
Bengals Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
2
Yards / Game
4
11
Passing Yards / Game
9
23
Rushing Yards / Game
12
15
EPA
EPA / Play
5
10
EPA / Pass
5
6
EPA / Rush
6
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
32
Interceptions / Game
13
9
Fumbles / Game
1
7
Turnover EPA / Game
27
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
11
4th Down Efficiency
30
25
RZ Efficiency
11
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
9-1
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bengals
8-2
SU
6-2-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U