INDColts
10-2
44
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
40°F
4 mph
20
BALRavens
4-8
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
40°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
21
14
7
0
42
Ravens
0
7
0
13
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
334
243
Total Plays
49
66
Yards / Play
6.8
3.7
EPA / Play
+0.39
-0.15
Passing Yards
--
145
Comp/Att
16/22(73%)
22/30(73%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.8
EPA / Pass
+1.23
-0.47
Rushing Yards
59
98
Rush Attempts
27
32
Yards / Rush
2.2
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.26
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
19
Passing 1st downs
13
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
50%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
10
13
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
5
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-25.36
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-20
Sack EPA
--
-6.95
Penalties
7
2
Penalty Yards
82
--
Penalty EPA
-6.16
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Colts Offense vs Ravens Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
22
Yards / Game
3
6
Passing Yards / Game
23
13
Rushing Yards / Game
20
2
EPA
EPA / Play
2
20
EPA / Pass
3
27
EPA / Rush
4
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
12
Interceptions / Game
11
13
Fumbles / Game
4
25
Turnover EPA / Game
31
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
6
4th Down Efficiency
10
19
RZ Efficiency
10
3
Ravens Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
2
Yards / Game
22
3
Passing Yards / Game
29
3
Rushing Yards / Game
15
14
EPA
EPA / Play
28
10
EPA / Pass
27
7
EPA / Rush
22
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
28
Interceptions / Game
6
2
Fumbles / Game
32
13
Turnover EPA / Game
1
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
31
4th Down Efficiency
12
23
RZ Efficiency
28
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Colts
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Ravens
3-7
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U