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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. colts @ ravens week 14, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
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IND logo
INDColts
10-2
44
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
40°F
4 mph
20
BALRavens
4-8
BAL logo
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
40°F
4 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Colts
21
14
7
0
42
Ravens
0
7
0
13
20

Game Statistics

General
Colts logo
Ravens logo
Total Yards
334
243
Total Plays
49
66
Yards / Play
6.8
3.7
EPA / Play
+0.39
-0.15
Passing Yards
--
145
Comp/Att
16/22(73%)
22/30(73%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.8
EPA / Pass
+1.23
-0.47
Rushing Yards
59
98
Rush Attempts
27
32
Yards / Rush
2.2
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.26
-0.24
Downs & Conversions
Colts logo
Ravens logo
1st Downs
16
19
Passing 1st downs
13
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
50%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
10
13
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Colts logo
Ravens logo
Turnovers
0
5
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-25.36
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-20
Sack EPA
--
-6.95
Penalties
7
2
Penalty Yards
82
--
Penalty EPA
-6.16
--

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
IND logo
INDColtsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Colts Offense vs Ravens Defense
Colts logo
Ravens logo

Total

Points / Game
2
22
Yards / Game
3
6
Passing Yards / Game
23
13
Rushing Yards / Game
20
2

EPA

EPA / Play
2
20
EPA / Pass
3
27
EPA / Rush
4
2

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
5
12
Interceptions / Game
11
13
Fumbles / Game
4
25
Turnover EPA / Game
31
2

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
2
6
4th Down Efficiency
10
19
RZ Efficiency
10
3
Ravens Offense vs Colts Defense
Ravens logo
Colts logo

Total

Points / Game
24
2
Yards / Game
22
3
Passing Yards / Game
29
3
Rushing Yards / Game
15
14

EPA

EPA / Play
28
10
EPA / Pass
27
7
EPA / Rush
22
18

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
28
Interceptions / Game
6
2
Fumbles / Game
32
13
Turnover EPA / Game
1
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
18
31
4th Down Efficiency
12
23
RZ Efficiency
28
22

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

IND logo

Colts

8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/23
6
W
L
P
09/30
18
W
W
P
10/07
19
W
W
P
10/22
22
W
W
P
10/28
24
W
W
P
11/04
-4
L
W
P
11/11
-2
L
L
P
11/18
3
W
L
P
11/22
18
W
W
P
12/02
3
W
L
P
BAL logo

Ravens

3-7
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/23
3
W
L
P
09/30
-14
L
L
P
10/07
2
W
L
P
10/14
19
W
W
P
10/21
-5
L
L
P
11/05
-31
L
L
P
11/11
-14
L
L
P
11/18
-3
L
L
P
11/25
-18
L
L
P
12/03
-3
L
W
P