WASCommanders
-
27
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
79°F
4 mph
32
PHIEagles
-
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
79°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
10
10
0
7
27
Eagles
0
7
14
11
32
Spread
+10
Total
OVER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
398
438
Total Plays
58
72
Yards / Play
6.9
6.1
EPA / Play
+0.20
+0.22
Passing Yards
370
313
Comp/Att
30/44(68%)
28/39(72%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
8.0
EPA / Pass
+0.49
+0.45
Rushing Yards
28
125
Rush Attempts
13
32
Yards / Rush
2.2
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.50
-0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
22
Passing 1st downs
15
13
Rushing 1st downs
--
9
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
38%
65%
3rd Down Conversions
5
11
3rd Down Attempts
13
17
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-10
--
Sack EPA
-1.47
-0.31
Penalties
12
6
Penalty Yards
96
55
Penalty EPA
-9.71
-5.89
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-10.0
Model
-9.5
Win Probability
Market79.5%
Model78.3%
Spread Pick
Commanders+10.0
Expected Value
+3.7%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+171
Home nfelo
1,554
Away nfelo
1,415
Home Field
+31.8
Base HFA
+57.9
Divisional Adj
-26.1
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-0.8
Home QB Adjustment
+2.6
Away QB Adjustment
+3.4
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
222.7
Model Spread
-9.5
Quarterbacks
C. Keenum
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+3.4
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+2.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
15
Yards / Game
31
10
Passing Yards / Game
27
28
Rushing Yards / Game
23
3
EPA
EPA / Play
30
14
EPA / Pass
32
20
EPA / Rush
24
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
16
Interceptions / Game
19
24
Fumbles / Game
10
9
Turnover EPA / Game
11
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
32
5
4th Down Efficiency
21
27
RZ Efficiency
27
14
Eagles Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
27
Yards / Game
13
27
Passing Yards / Game
8
23
Rushing Yards / Game
11
31
EPA
EPA / Play
12
29
EPA / Pass
17
27
EPA / Rush
15
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
6
Interceptions / Game
5
13
Fumbles / Game
28
14
Turnover EPA / Game
19
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
32
4th Down Efficiency
30
30
RZ Efficiency
8
25
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Eagles
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U