WASCommanders
5-6
24
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
09
LARRams
5-6
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Commanders
7
3
0
14
24
Rams
0
7
0
0
7
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
407
191
Total Plays
63
56
Yards / Play
6.5
3.4
EPA / Play
+0.16
-0.18
Passing Yards
150
142
Comp/Att
14/22(64%)
21/36(58%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
3.9
EPA / Pass
+0.21
-0.23
Rushing Yards
257
49
Rush Attempts
40
17
Yards / Rush
6.4
2.9
EPA / Rush
+0.22
-0.46
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
13
Passing 1st downs
8
10
Rushing 1st downs
11
2
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
57%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
8
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-7.72
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-6
-21
Sack EPA
-1.27
-5.16
Penalties
8
4
Penalty Yards
76
30
Penalty EPA
-8.71
-3.84
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
WASCommandersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Commanders Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
31
Yards / Game
19
30
Passing Yards / Game
25
25
Rushing Yards / Game
7
28
EPA
EPA / Play
11
22
EPA / Pass
11
23
EPA / Rush
14
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
6
Interceptions / Game
6
24
Fumbles / Game
29
9
Turnover EPA / Game
21
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
23
4th Down Efficiency
11
1
RZ Efficiency
5
29
Rams Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
9
Yards / Game
9
9
Passing Yards / Game
2
7
Rushing Yards / Game
22
12
EPA
EPA / Play
18
7
EPA / Pass
13
9
EPA / Rush
30
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
18
Interceptions / Game
30
14
Fumbles / Game
18
14
Turnover EPA / Game
6
24
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
13
4th Down Efficiency
4
6
RZ Efficiency
20
3
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Commanders
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Rams
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U