DALCowboys
1-0
20
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
77°F
15 mph
10
PHIEagles
0-1
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
77°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
3
3
1
7
14
Eagles
0
0
0
10
10
Spread
+6.5
Total
UNDER
53
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
359
226
Total Plays
70
55
Yards / Play
5.1
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.12
-0.38
Passing Yards
250
219
Comp/Att
25/34(74%)
23/37(62%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
5.9
EPA / Pass
-0.06
-0.22
Rushing Yards
109
7
Rush Attempts
33
17
Yards / Rush
3.3
0.4
EPA / Rush
-0.16
-0.71
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
17
Passing 1st downs
12
11
Rushing 1st downs
4
2
Penalty 1st downs
5
4
3rd Down %
33%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
4
2
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-11.44
-17.20
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-18
-5
Sack EPA
-8.09
-1.18
Penalties
18
8
Penalty Yards
142
60
Penalty EPA
-17.77
-7.23
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-5.0
Current
-6.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market71.0%
Model63.3%
Spread Pick
Cowboys+6.5
Expected Value
+10.1%
Cover Probability
57.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+45
Home nfelo
1,574
Away nfelo
1,555
Home Field
+44.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-18.4
Home QB Adjustment
-1.6
Away QB Adjustment
+16.9
Market Regression
+1.2
Final Difference
95.0
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
T. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+16.9
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-1.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
28
Yards / Game
23
30
Passing Yards / Game
27
31
Rushing Yards / Game
8
32
EPA
EPA / Play
25
17
EPA / Pass
31
16
EPA / Rush
5
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
15
Interceptions / Game
32
10
Fumbles / Game
21
15
Turnover EPA / Game
1
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
26
4th Down Efficiency
15
27
RZ Efficiency
29
31
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
16
Yards / Game
12
16
Passing Yards / Game
14
14
Rushing Yards / Game
15
22
EPA
EPA / Play
21
26
EPA / Pass
22
21
EPA / Rush
16
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
21
Interceptions / Game
26
30
Fumbles / Game
30
32
Turnover EPA / Game
2
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
17
4th Down Efficiency
15
17
RZ Efficiency
22
8
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Eagles
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
6-3-1
O/U