DALCowboys
8-7
6
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
19°F
17 mph
0
PHIEagles
13-2
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
19°F
17 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
0
0
6
6
Eagles
0
0
0
0
0
Spread
-4
Total
UNDER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
301
219
Total Plays
63
55
Yards / Play
4.8
4.0
EPA / Play
-0.23
-0.41
Passing Yards
172
149
Comp/Att
17/30(57%)
23/34(68%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
4.4
EPA / Pass
+0.03
-0.57
Rushing Yards
129
70
Rush Attempts
32
18
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.23
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
12
Passing 1st downs
9
5
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
33%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
5
2
3rd Down Attempts
15
11
Red Zone %
0%
NaN%
Red Zone Conversions
--
--
Red Zone Attempts
1
--
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-2.78
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-7
-24
Sack EPA
-1.35
-6.31
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
64
49
Penalty EPA
-6.25
-5.12
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
-4.0
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market65.2%
Model54.1%
Spread Pick
Eagles+4.0
Expected Value
+17.8%
Cover Probability
60.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+139
Home nfelo
1,680
Away nfelo
1,536
Home Field
+60.3
Base HFA
+56.0
Divisional Adj
-25.3
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.6
Time Adj
+10.0
Net QB Adjustment
-65.3
Home QB Adjustment
-79.6
Away QB Adjustment
-14.3
Market Regression
-112.2
Final Difference
-28.5
Model Spread
+1.5
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
-14.3
N. Foles
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-79.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
4
Yards / Game
14
9
Passing Yards / Game
27
26
Rushing Yards / Game
2
1
EPA
EPA / Play
10
5
EPA / Pass
19
7
EPA / Rush
1
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
22
Interceptions / Game
17
6
Fumbles / Game
13
2
Turnover EPA / Game
19
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
3
4th Down Efficiency
11
2
RZ Efficiency
7
12
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
9
Yards / Game
4
6
Passing Yards / Game
7
1
Rushing Yards / Game
3
8
EPA
EPA / Play
4
16
EPA / Pass
2
20
EPA / Rush
11
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
22
Interceptions / Game
4
25
Fumbles / Game
22
14
Turnover EPA / Game
29
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
29
4th Down Efficiency
3
6
RZ Efficiency
2
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
3-7
O/U
Eagles
9-1
SU
7-3
ATS
5-5
O/U