DALCowboys
-
24
TBD
MetLife Stadium
77°F
5 mph
17
NYGGiants
-
TBD
MetLife Stadium
77°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
0
7
10
7
24
Giants
0
3
7
7
17
Spread
+3.5
Total
UNDER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
433
269
Total Plays
57
54
Yards / Play
7.6
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.20
+0.04
Passing Yards
290
187
Comp/Att
22/29(76%)
21/32(66%)
Yards / Pass
10.0
5.8
EPA / Pass
+0.45
+0.10
Rushing Yards
143
82
Rush Attempts
26
19
Yards / Rush
5.5
4.3
EPA / Rush
+0.08
-0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
15
Passing 1st downs
12
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
40%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
10
12
Red Zone %
67%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-6.62
-4.71
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-17
-26
Sack EPA
-3.57
-4.14
Penalties
13
4
Penalty Yards
86
33
Penalty EPA
-16.01
-3.09
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model62.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+100
Home nfelo
1,590
Away nfelo
1,517
Home Field
+23.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+4.1
Home QB Adjustment
+10.6
Away QB Adjustment
+6.4
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
88.7
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
T. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+6.4
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+10.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
10
Yards / Game
8
31
Passing Yards / Game
1
13
Rushing Yards / Game
31
24
EPA
EPA / Play
13
20
EPA / Pass
10
22
EPA / Rush
24
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
32
Interceptions / Game
28
3
Fumbles / Game
19
12
Turnover EPA / Game
9
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
30
4th Down Efficiency
1
17
RZ Efficiency
20
4
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
24
Yards / Game
16
18
Passing Yards / Game
32
16
Rushing Yards / Game
14
20
EPA
EPA / Play
3
25
EPA / Pass
12
28
EPA / Rush
7
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
15
Interceptions / Game
14
31
Fumbles / Game
13
22
Turnover EPA / Game
24
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
23
4th Down Efficiency
17
22
RZ Efficiency
13
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
5-5
SU
2-8
ATS
3-7
O/U
Giants
7-3
SU
8-2
ATS
4-6
O/U