DALCowboys
3-5
33
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
016
OAKRaiders
2-7
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
3
21
7
0
31
Raiders
6
3
0
7
16
Spread
-3.5
Total
OVER
48.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
381
236
Total Plays
65
58
Yards / Play
5.9
4.1
EPA / Play
+0.15
-0.19
Passing Yards
267
209
Comp/Att
25/33(76%)
27/42(64%)
Yards / Pass
8.1
5.0
EPA / Pass
+0.26
-0.34
Rushing Yards
114
27
Rush Attempts
31
12
Yards / Rush
3.7
2.3
EPA / Rush
-0.21
+0.15
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
17
Passing 1st downs
16
12
Rushing 1st downs
7
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
40%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
4
3
3rd Down Attempts
10
12
Red Zone %
60%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.79
-5.16
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-1
-29
Sack EPA
-5.79
-9.35
Penalties
6
6
Penalty Yards
50
40
Penalty EPA
+2.97
-4.87
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.9%
Model62.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-82
Home nfelo
1,393
Away nfelo
1,469
Home Field
+24.8
Base HFA
+42.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-33.2
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+15.3
Net QB Adjustment
-31.6
Home QB Adjustment
-19.2
Away QB Adjustment
+12.4
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-91.7
Model Spread
+3.5
Quarterbacks
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+2.3
Team Elo Adj
+12.4
E. Smith
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
-19.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Cowboys Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
24
Yards / Game
3
17
Passing Yards / Game
8
26
Rushing Yards / Game
12
15
EPA
EPA / Play
4
15
EPA / Pass
8
24
EPA / Rush
13
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
7
Interceptions / Game
16
17
Fumbles / Game
19
11
Turnover EPA / Game
16
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
30
4th Down Efficiency
16
27
RZ Efficiency
13
16
Raiders Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
31
Yards / Game
30
30
Passing Yards / Game
19
24
Rushing Yards / Game
30
24
EPA
EPA / Play
29
30
EPA / Pass
29
26
EPA / Rush
32
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
26
Interceptions / Game
31
23
Fumbles / Game
3
24
Turnover EPA / Game
4
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
32
4th Down Efficiency
29
8
RZ Efficiency
30
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Cowboys
3-6-1
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Raiders
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U