PHIEagles
-
17
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
68°F
9 mph
16
CLEBrowns
-
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
68°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
10
0
7
17
Browns
3
0
3
4
10
Spread
+9
Total
UNDER
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
456
210
Total Plays
88
59
Yards / Play
5.2
3.6
EPA / Play
-0.22
-0.36
Passing Yards
306
111
Comp/Att
29/56(52%)
12/35(34%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
3.2
EPA / Pass
-0.23
-0.54
Rushing Yards
150
99
Rush Attempts
30
22
Yards / Rush
5.0
4.5
EPA / Rush
-0.07
-0.27
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
12
Passing 1st downs
14
7
Rushing 1st downs
10
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
42%
15%
3rd Down Conversions
8
2
3rd Down Attempts
19
13
Red Zone %
100%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
5
4
Interceptions
4
4
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-26.62
-10.17
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-11
-7
Sack EPA
-2.40
-0.05
Penalties
12
3
Penalty Yards
110
35
Penalty EPA
-5.66
-3.15
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-8.0
Current
-9.0
Model
-7.5
Win Probability
Market78.3%
Model74.3%
Spread Pick
Browns+9.0
Expected Value
+6.3%
Cover Probability
54.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-142
Home nfelo
1,391
Away nfelo
1,588
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-7.0
Home QB Adjustment
+4.4
Away QB Adjustment
+11.3
Market Regression
+5.6
Final Difference
-184.1
Model Spread
+7.5
Quarterbacks
M. Vick
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
+11.3
B. Weeden
Proj. Value
-1.9
Team Elo Adj
+4.4
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
19
Yards / Game
17
22
Passing Yards / Game
6
20
Rushing Yards / Game
13
18
EPA
EPA / Play
27
12
EPA / Pass
24
18
EPA / Rush
27
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
15
Interceptions / Game
14
11
Fumbles / Game
32
5
Turnover EPA / Game
1
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
14
4th Down Efficiency
10
27
RZ Efficiency
29
23
Browns Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
29
Yards / Game
25
14
Passing Yards / Game
24
3
Rushing Yards / Game
24
21
EPA
EPA / Play
26
29
EPA / Pass
27
31
EPA / Rush
13
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
5
Interceptions / Game
27
30
Fumbles / Game
3
26
Turnover EPA / Game
17
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
27
4th Down Efficiency
21
1
RZ Efficiency
30
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Browns
1-9
SU
6-4
ATS
1-8-1
O/U