PHIEagles
1-2
20
TBD
FedExField
58°F
13 mph
23
WASCommanders
1-2
TBD
FedExField
58°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
0
13
7
20
Commanders
6
7
3
7
23
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
320
417
Total Plays
51
79
Yards / Play
6.3
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.02
-0.00
Passing Yards
233
290
Comp/Att
15/28(54%)
31/46(67%)
Yards / Pass
8.3
6.3
EPA / Pass
+0.32
+0.16
Rushing Yards
87
127
Rush Attempts
18
32
Yards / Rush
4.8
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.27
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
25
Passing 1st downs
6
18
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
4
3
3rd Down %
33%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
4
9
3rd Down Attempts
12
17
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-5.21
-4.27
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-37
--
Sack EPA
-4.74
-1.13
Penalties
8
10
Penalty Yards
72
110
Penalty EPA
-9.09
-13.14
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model63.2%
Spread Pick
Eagles-3.0
Expected Value
+4.4%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-135
Home nfelo
1,396
Away nfelo
1,572
Home Field
+34.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+6.8
Home QB Adjustment
-1.7
Away QB Adjustment
-8.5
Market Regression
-5.2
Final Difference
-93.8
Model Spread
+3.5
Quarterbacks
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-8.5
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
-1.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
19
Yards / Game
12
26
Passing Yards / Game
14
11
Rushing Yards / Game
15
26
EPA
EPA / Play
21
20
EPA / Pass
22
20
EPA / Rush
16
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
26
Interceptions / Game
26
25
Fumbles / Game
30
1
Turnover EPA / Game
2
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
10
4th Down Efficiency
15
22
RZ Efficiency
22
16
Commanders Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
28
Yards / Game
15
30
Passing Yards / Game
7
31
Rushing Yards / Game
20
32
EPA
EPA / Play
13
17
EPA / Pass
6
16
EPA / Rush
28
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
15
Interceptions / Game
9
10
Fumbles / Game
13
15
Turnover EPA / Game
19
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
26
4th Down Efficiency
15
27
RZ Efficiency
11
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
4-5-1
O/U
Commanders
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
3-6-1
O/U