PHIEagles
9-5
24
TBD
FedExField
37°F
027
WASCommanders
3-11
TBD
FedExField
37°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
7
7
0
10
24
Commanders
10
0
14
3
27
Spread
+7
Total
PUSH
51
P
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
495
305
Total Plays
84
54
Yards / Play
5.9
5.6
EPA / Play
+0.06
+0.09
Passing Yards
361
205
Comp/Att
37/50(74%)
16/23(70%)
Yards / Pass
7.2
8.9
EPA / Pass
+0.34
+0.33
Rushing Yards
134
100
Rush Attempts
31
29
Yards / Rush
4.3
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.04
-0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
30
21
Passing 1st downs
22
9
Rushing 1st downs
7
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
6
3rd Down %
56%
22%
3rd Down Conversions
9
2
3rd Down Attempts
16
9
Red Zone %
60%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-7.71
-7.40
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-13
-15
Sack EPA
-6.89
-3.36
Penalties
13
3
Penalty Yards
102
15
Penalty EPA
-14.78
-2.58
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-8.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market73.2%
Model70.9%
Spread Pick
Commanders+7.0
Expected Value
+3.4%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-123
Home nfelo
1,408
Away nfelo
1,641
Home Field
+34.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+75.9
Home QB Adjustment
-18.1
Away QB Adjustment
-94.1
Market Regression
+5.7
Final Difference
-155.0
Model Spread
+6.5
Quarterbacks
M. Sanchez
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
-94.1
R. Griffin
Proj. Value
-2.2
Team Elo Adj
-18.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
29
Yards / Game
4
19
Passing Yards / Game
19
16
Rushing Yards / Game
8
12
EPA
EPA / Play
14
31
EPA / Pass
15
32
EPA / Rush
21
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
2
Interceptions / Game
32
28
Fumbles / Game
31
16
Turnover EPA / Game
1
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
24
4th Down Efficiency
2
24
RZ Efficiency
24
15
Commanders Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
22
Yards / Game
13
28
Passing Yards / Game
9
7
Rushing Yards / Game
18
15
EPA
EPA / Play
23
7
EPA / Pass
25
17
EPA / Rush
18
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
19
Interceptions / Game
26
22
Fumbles / Game
32
1
Turnover EPA / Game
7
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
12
4th Down Efficiency
32
4
RZ Efficiency
27
20
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Commanders
2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
3-7
O/U