PHIEagles
10-2
13
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
033
DALCowboys
9-3
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
6
1
0
7
Cowboys
10
14
3
6
33
Spread
-3.5
Total
UNDER
52.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
324
394
Total Plays
52
74
Yards / Play
6.2
5.3
EPA / Play
-0.21
+0.15
Passing Yards
218
256
Comp/Att
19/28(68%)
24/39(62%)
Yards / Pass
7.8
6.6
EPA / Pass
-0.14
-0.00
Rushing Yards
106
138
Rush Attempts
23
32
Yards / Rush
4.6
4.3
EPA / Rush
-0.24
+0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
23
Passing 1st downs
10
13
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
44%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
4
9
3rd Down Attempts
9
16
Red Zone %
0%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
3
1
Turnover EPA
-13.48
-8.36
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-7
-15
Sack EPA
-1.09
-11.00
Penalties
9
7
Penalty Yards
85
60
Penalty EPA
-12.38
-6.62
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model63.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+134
Home nfelo
1,690
Away nfelo
1,621
Home Field
+48.9
Base HFA
+45.4
Divisional Adj
-20.5
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.8
Time Adj
+8.1
Net QB Adjustment
+15.6
Home QB Adjustment
+30.3
Away QB Adjustment
+14.7
Market Regression
+11.8
Final Difference
98.0
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+14.7
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+0.6
Team Elo Adj
+30.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
9
Yards / Game
9
7
Passing Yards / Game
10
12
Rushing Yards / Game
9
18
EPA
EPA / Play
7
9
EPA / Pass
10
7
EPA / Rush
6
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
17
Interceptions / Game
24
11
Fumbles / Game
25
18
Turnover EPA / Game
8
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
17
4th Down Efficiency
1
20
RZ Efficiency
9
22
Cowboys Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
30
Yards / Game
4
26
Passing Yards / Game
15
32
Rushing Yards / Game
15
11
EPA
EPA / Play
2
30
EPA / Pass
3
29
EPA / Rush
7
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
22
Interceptions / Game
13
26
Fumbles / Game
4
24
Turnover EPA / Game
17
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
30
4th Down Efficiency
15
25
RZ Efficiency
12
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
8-2
SU
6-3-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Cowboys
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
7-2-1
O/U