PHIEagles
-
24
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
026
ATLFalcons
-
TBD
Georgia Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
3
14
7
24
Falcons
3
17
0
6
26
Spread
+3
Total
UNDER
55
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
399
395
Total Plays
68
70
Yards / Play
5.9
5.6
EPA / Play
-0.09
-0.09
Passing Yards
--
290
Comp/Att
36/52(69%)
23/34(68%)
Yards / Pass
--
8.5
EPA / Pass
+0.09
+0.04
Rushing Yards
63
105
Rush Attempts
16
35
Yards / Rush
3.9
3.0
EPA / Rush
+0.05
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
21
Passing 1st downs
17
16
Rushing 1st downs
5
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
25%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
75%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
3
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-7.73
-9.88
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-8
Sack EPA
--
-2.04
Penalties
10
7
Penalty Yards
88
57
Penalty EPA
-8.89
-8.19
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model56.6%
Spread Pick
Falcons+3.0
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-11
Home nfelo
1,470
Away nfelo
1,579
Home Field
+84.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+13.7
Home QB Adjustment
+7.7
Away QB Adjustment
-6.0
Market Regression
-30.4
Final Difference
-46.4
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-6.0
M. Ryan
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+7.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Falcons Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
14
Yards / Game
12
15
Passing Yards / Game
14
3
Rushing Yards / Game
15
14
EPA
EPA / Play
21
15
EPA / Pass
22
17
EPA / Rush
16
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
24
Interceptions / Game
26
10
Fumbles / Game
30
23
Turnover EPA / Game
2
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
27
4th Down Efficiency
15
5
RZ Efficiency
22
26
Falcons Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
28
Yards / Game
5
30
Passing Yards / Game
4
31
Rushing Yards / Game
19
32
EPA
EPA / Play
16
17
EPA / Pass
8
16
EPA / Rush
29
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
15
Interceptions / Game
24
10
Fumbles / Game
29
15
Turnover EPA / Game
7
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
26
4th Down Efficiency
14
27
RZ Efficiency
17
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
6-3-1
O/U
Falcons
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U