PHIEagles
2-3
34
TBD
MetLife Stadium
70°F
3 mph
13
NYGGiants
1-4
TBD
MetLife Stadium
70°F
3 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
14
10
7
3
34
Giants
3
3
7
0
13
Spread
-2
Total
OVER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
379
401
Total Plays
68
64
Yards / Play
5.6
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.20
-0.21
Passing Yards
271
254
Comp/Att
26/36(72%)
24/43(56%)
Yards / Pass
7.5
5.9
EPA / Pass
+0.53
-0.36
Rushing Yards
108
147
Rush Attempts
31
17
Yards / Rush
3.5
8.6
EPA / Rush
-0.10
+0.34
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
17
Passing 1st downs
15
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
56%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
9
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
14
Red Zone %
67%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
4
--
Red Zone Attempts
6
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-6.95
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-7
-27
Sack EPA
-1.63
-6.25
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
25
61
Penalty EPA
-4.64
-4.52
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-2.0
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market54.7%
Model54.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-99
Home nfelo
1,436
Away nfelo
1,544
Home Field
+51.1
Base HFA
+56.9
Divisional Adj
-25.7
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.9
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-42.7
Home QB Adjustment
+4.7
Away QB Adjustment
+47.4
Market Regression
+13.4
Final Difference
-32.8
Model Spread
+2.0
Quarterbacks
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+47.4
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+4.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
23
Yards / Game
17
24
Passing Yards / Game
11
18
Rushing Yards / Game
30
21
EPA
EPA / Play
11
28
EPA / Pass
11
26
EPA / Rush
22
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
10
Interceptions / Game
21
7
Fumbles / Game
24
19
Turnover EPA / Game
12
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
27
4th Down Efficiency
16
32
RZ Efficiency
17
13
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
9
Yards / Game
16
23
Passing Yards / Game
8
29
Rushing Yards / Game
24
6
EPA
EPA / Play
13
22
EPA / Pass
15
22
EPA / Rush
11
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
22
Interceptions / Game
14
25
Fumbles / Game
3
25
Turnover EPA / Game
22
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
8
4th Down Efficiency
10
20
RZ Efficiency
29
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Giants
2-8
SU
5-5
ATS
3-7
O/U