PHIEagles
11-5
10
TBD
MetLife Stadium
36°F
12 mph
27
NYGGiants
5-11
TBD
MetLife Stadium
36°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
0
3
7
10
Giants
3
21
0
3
27
Spread
+5
Total
UNDER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
299
415
Total Plays
65
66
Yards / Play
4.6
6.3
EPA / Play
-0.28
+0.01
Passing Yards
166
306
Comp/Att
20/36(56%)
25/34(74%)
Yards / Pass
4.6
9.0
EPA / Pass
-0.61
+0.24
Rushing Yards
133
109
Rush Attempts
24
30
Yards / Rush
5.5
3.6
EPA / Rush
+0.15
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
22
Passing 1st downs
9
13
Rushing 1st downs
9
9
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
38%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-17.21
-5.24
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-37
-5
Sack EPA
-10.12
-2.04
Penalties
2
3
Penalty Yards
--
21
Penalty EPA
--
-2.10
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-5.0
Model
-5.0
Win Probability
Market67.5%
Model67.5%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-154
Home nfelo
1,413
Away nfelo
1,582
Home Field
+41.4
Base HFA
+46.1
Divisional Adj
-20.8
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+16.1
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-27.6
Home QB Adjustment
-18.5
Away QB Adjustment
+9.1
Market Regression
+47.6
Final Difference
-127.0
Model Spread
+5.0
Quarterbacks
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+9.1
T. Taylor
Proj. Value
-1.5
Team Elo Adj
-18.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
26
Yards / Game
9
27
Passing Yards / Game
10
5
Rushing Yards / Game
9
29
EPA
EPA / Play
7
17
EPA / Pass
10
12
EPA / Rush
6
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
1
Interceptions / Game
24
3
Fumbles / Game
25
1
Turnover EPA / Game
8
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
10
4th Down Efficiency
1
20
RZ Efficiency
9
24
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
30
Yards / Game
29
26
Passing Yards / Game
29
32
Rushing Yards / Game
16
11
EPA
EPA / Play
30
30
EPA / Pass
29
29
EPA / Rush
29
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
22
Interceptions / Game
15
26
Fumbles / Game
6
24
Turnover EPA / Game
21
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
30
4th Down Efficiency
20
25
RZ Efficiency
31
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Giants
4-6
SU
6-3-1
ATS
5-5
O/U