PHIEagles
3-4
24
TBD
Wembley Stadium
48°F
12 mph
18
JAXJaguars
3-4
TBD
Wembley Stadium
48°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
10
7
7
24
Jaguars
3
3
6
6
18
Spread
-4
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
395
335
Total Plays
62
63
Yards / Play
6.4
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.12
+0.03
Passing Yards
262
265
Comp/Att
21/30(70%)
24/42(57%)
Yards / Pass
8.7
6.3
EPA / Pass
+0.26
-0.17
Rushing Yards
133
70
Rush Attempts
28
17
Yards / Rush
4.8
4.1
EPA / Rush
+0.03
+0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
16
Passing 1st downs
15
10
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
58%
43%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
14
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-8.88
-4.10
Sacks
4
4
Sack Yards
-24
-21
Sack EPA
-9.39
-5.35
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
36
45
Penalty EPA
-3.88
+3.18
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-4.0
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market65.2%
Model65.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-96
Home nfelo
1,499
Away nfelo
1,537
Home Field
--
Base HFA
--
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-58.6
Home QB Adjustment
-6.7
Away QB Adjustment
+51.9
Market Regression
-17.4
Final Difference
-109.1
Model Spread
+4.0
Quarterbacks
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+51.9
R. Bortles
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
-6.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
4
Yards / Game
17
5
Passing Yards / Game
11
5
Rushing Yards / Game
30
20
EPA
EPA / Play
11
6
EPA / Pass
11
7
EPA / Rush
22
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
2
Interceptions / Game
21
23
Fumbles / Game
24
28
Turnover EPA / Game
12
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
14
4th Down Efficiency
16
1
RZ Efficiency
17
4
Jaguars Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
9
Yards / Game
27
23
Passing Yards / Game
31
29
Rushing Yards / Game
20
6
EPA
EPA / Play
30
22
EPA / Pass
30
22
EPA / Rush
23
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
22
Interceptions / Game
17
25
Fumbles / Game
32
25
Turnover EPA / Game
8
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
8
4th Down Efficiency
27
20
RZ Efficiency
31
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Jaguars
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
4-6
O/U