PHIEagles
3-3
16
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
71°F
027
CARPanthers
5-0
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
71°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
0
6
10
0
16
Panthers
7
7
7
6
27
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
349
394
Total Plays
81
58
Yards / Play
4.3
6.8
EPA / Play
-0.10
+0.02
Passing Yards
172
190
Comp/Att
26/46(57%)
14/24(58%)
Yards / Pass
3.7
7.9
EPA / Pass
-0.32
-0.19
Rushing Yards
177
204
Rush Attempts
30
33
Yards / Rush
5.9
6.2
EPA / Rush
+0.17
+0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
21
Passing 1st downs
12
11
Rushing 1st downs
6
9
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
39%
22%
3rd Down Conversions
7
2
3rd Down Attempts
18
9
Red Zone %
0%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
1
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.99
-11.32
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-33
-7
Sack EPA
-6.61
-1.75
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
46
43
Penalty EPA
-3.74
-5.19
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-3.0
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market59.3%
Model53.9%
Spread Pick
Eagles+3.0
Expected Value
+6.4%
Cover Probability
51.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-7
Home nfelo
1,491
Away nfelo
1,579
Home Field
+62.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+18.0
Home QB Adjustment
+12.2
Away QB Adjustment
-5.8
Market Regression
-8.9
Final Difference
27.2
Model Spread
-2.0
Quarterbacks
S. Bradford
Proj. Value
-1.1
Team Elo Adj
-5.8
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+12.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
6
Yards / Game
12
5
Passing Yards / Game
14
20
Rushing Yards / Game
15
4
EPA
EPA / Play
21
2
EPA / Pass
22
2
EPA / Rush
16
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
19
Interceptions / Game
26
1
Fumbles / Game
30
3
Turnover EPA / Game
2
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
9
4th Down Efficiency
15
25
RZ Efficiency
22
8
Panthers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
28
Yards / Game
11
30
Passing Yards / Game
17
31
Rushing Yards / Game
2
32
EPA
EPA / Play
4
17
EPA / Pass
7
16
EPA / Rush
3
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
15
Interceptions / Game
8
10
Fumbles / Game
26
15
Turnover EPA / Game
22
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
26
4th Down Efficiency
9
27
RZ Efficiency
1
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Panthers
9-1
SU
6-4
ATS
5-4-1
O/U