PHIEagles
2-1
23
TBD
Nissan Stadium
80°F
4 mph
26
TENTitans
2-1
TBD
Nissan Stadium
80°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Eagles
0
10
7
3
3
23
Titans
3
0
7
10
6
26
Spread
+3
Total
OVER
41.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
432
397
Total Plays
76
68
Yards / Play
5.7
5.8
EPA / Play
+0.05
+0.13
Passing Yards
315
327
Comp/Att
33/50(66%)
30/43(70%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
7.6
EPA / Pass
+0.08
+0.24
Rushing Yards
117
70
Rush Attempts
22
22
Yards / Rush
5.3
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.06
-0.21
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
22
Passing 1st downs
18
16
Rushing 1st downs
6
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
33%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
16
Red Zone %
25%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.76
-3.90
Sacks
4
3
Sack Yards
-33
-17
Sack EPA
-7.82
-3.58
Penalties
8
4
Penalty Yards
77
30
Penalty EPA
-5.97
-4.09
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model59.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-39
Home nfelo
1,514
Away nfelo
1,556
Home Field
+46.5
Base HFA
+56.6
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-10.1
Net QB Adjustment
-43.8
Home QB Adjustment
+1.9
Away QB Adjustment
+45.7
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-68.3
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+45.7
M. Mariota
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+1.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Eagles Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
3
Yards / Game
17
7
Passing Yards / Game
11
7
Rushing Yards / Game
30
19
EPA
EPA / Play
11
13
EPA / Pass
11
14
EPA / Rush
22
15
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
10
Interceptions / Game
21
23
Fumbles / Game
24
19
Turnover EPA / Game
12
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
10
4th Down Efficiency
16
15
RZ Efficiency
17
2
Titans Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
9
Yards / Game
25
23
Passing Yards / Game
27
29
Rushing Yards / Game
6
6
EPA
EPA / Play
20
22
EPA / Pass
24
22
EPA / Rush
16
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
22
Interceptions / Game
14
25
Fumbles / Game
3
25
Turnover EPA / Game
18
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
8
4th Down Efficiency
15
20
RZ Efficiency
23
1
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Eagles
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Titans
5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U