NYGGiants
5-2
29
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
024
DALCowboys
3-3
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
13
4
0
6
23
Cowboys
0
10
14
0
24
Spread
-3
Total
OVER
47.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
293
434
Total Plays
58
83
Yards / Play
5.1
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.03
-0.14
Passing Yards
190
415
Comp/Att
15/29(52%)
36/62(58%)
Yards / Pass
6.6
6.7
EPA / Pass
-0.10
-0.18
Rushing Yards
103
19
Rush Attempts
28
17
Yards / Rush
3.7
1.1
EPA / Rush
-0.26
-0.33
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
28
Passing 1st downs
7
21
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
20%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
3
7
3rd Down Attempts
15
14
Red Zone %
25%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
5
Interceptions
1
4
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-1.32
-28.94
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-2
-22
Sack EPA
-0.44
-4.57
Penalties
5
2
Penalty Yards
45
--
Penalty EPA
-4.27
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYGGiantsFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-1.5
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model53.4%
Spread Pick
Cowboys+3.0
Expected Value
+8.4%
Cover Probability
53.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+13
Home nfelo
1,557
Away nfelo
1,581
Home Field
+45.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-8.7
Home QB Adjustment
+1.8
Away QB Adjustment
+10.5
Market Regression
-38.8
Final Difference
-23.5
Model Spread
+1.5
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+10.5
A. Romo
Proj. Value
+0.0
Team Elo Adj
+1.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
24
Yards / Game
16
18
Passing Yards / Game
32
16
Rushing Yards / Game
14
20
EPA
EPA / Play
3
25
EPA / Pass
12
28
EPA / Rush
7
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
15
Interceptions / Game
14
31
Fumbles / Game
13
22
Turnover EPA / Game
24
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
23
4th Down Efficiency
17
22
RZ Efficiency
13
19
Cowboys Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
10
Yards / Game
8
31
Passing Yards / Game
1
13
Rushing Yards / Game
31
24
EPA
EPA / Play
13
20
EPA / Pass
10
22
EPA / Rush
24
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
32
Interceptions / Game
28
3
Fumbles / Game
19
12
Turnover EPA / Game
9
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
30
4th Down Efficiency
1
17
RZ Efficiency
20
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
3-7
O/U
Cowboys
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
3-7
O/U