NYGGiants
2-1
17
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
63°F
6 mph
19
PHIEagles
2-1
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
63°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
0
3
7
7
17
Eagles
0
7
6
6
19
Spread
2
P
Total
UNDER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
366
422
Total Plays
61
68
Yards / Play
6.0
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.16
+0.16
Passing Yards
--
231
Comp/Att
24/42(57%)
19/30(63%)
Yards / Pass
--
7.7
EPA / Pass
+0.18
+0.26
Rushing Yards
57
191
Rush Attempts
19
36
Yards / Rush
3.0
5.3
EPA / Rush
-0.24
+0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
22
Passing 1st downs
14
11
Rushing 1st downs
2
10
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
20%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
2
4
3rd Down Attempts
10
12
Red Zone %
50%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.74
--
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-10
Sack EPA
--
-3.53
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
55
49
Penalty EPA
-5.48
-6.90
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
-2.0
Model
-2.0
Win Probability
Market54.2%
Model54.2%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+32
Home nfelo
1,568
Away nfelo
1,576
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-16.6
Home QB Adjustment
-2.4
Away QB Adjustment
+14.3
Market Regression
+14.0
Final Difference
29.3
Model Spread
-2.0
Quarterbacks
E. Manning
Proj. Value
-1.3
Team Elo Adj
+14.3
M. Vick
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-2.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
29
Yards / Game
16
14
Passing Yards / Game
32
3
Rushing Yards / Game
14
21
EPA
EPA / Play
3
29
EPA / Pass
12
31
EPA / Rush
7
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
5
Interceptions / Game
14
30
Fumbles / Game
13
26
Turnover EPA / Game
24
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
27
4th Down Efficiency
17
1
RZ Efficiency
13
19
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
10
Yards / Game
17
31
Passing Yards / Game
6
13
Rushing Yards / Game
13
24
EPA
EPA / Play
27
20
EPA / Pass
24
22
EPA / Rush
27
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
32
Interceptions / Game
14
3
Fumbles / Game
32
12
Turnover EPA / Game
1
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
30
4th Down Efficiency
10
17
RZ Efficiency
29
4
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
2-8
O/U
Eagles
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
4-5-1
O/U