NYGGiants
5-9
25
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
51°F
5 mph
33
PHIEagles
10-4
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
51°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Giants
3
0
9
7
19
Eagles
7
13
0
13
33
Spread
+14
Total
OVER
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
294
465
Total Plays
60
74
Yards / Play
4.9
6.3
EPA / Play
-0.12
+0.02
Passing Yards
186
295
Comp/Att
16/32(50%)
24/38(63%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
7.8
EPA / Pass
-0.19
+0.19
Rushing Yards
108
170
Rush Attempts
27
35
Yards / Rush
4.0
4.9
EPA / Rush
+0.08
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
28
Passing 1st downs
7
16
Rushing 1st downs
6
12
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
29%
53%
3rd Down Conversions
4
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
100%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-1.55
-16.57
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-2
-6
Sack EPA
-1.33
-1.53
Penalties
3
9
Penalty Yards
13
65
Penalty EPA
-1.30
-15.41
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-10.0
Current
-14.0
Model
-14.0
Win Probability
Market87.3%
Model87.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+297
Home nfelo
1,604
Away nfelo
1,411
Home Field
+40.8
Base HFA
+45.4
Divisional Adj
-20.5
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+62.7
Home QB Adjustment
+9.1
Away QB Adjustment
-53.6
Market Regression
+70.3
Final Difference
334.9
Model Spread
-14.0
Quarterbacks
T. DeVito
Proj. Value
-2.9
Team Elo Adj
-53.6
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+9.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Giants Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
30
Yards / Game
29
26
Passing Yards / Game
29
32
Rushing Yards / Game
16
11
EPA
EPA / Play
30
30
EPA / Pass
29
29
EPA / Rush
29
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
22
Interceptions / Game
15
26
Fumbles / Game
6
24
Turnover EPA / Game
21
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
30
4th Down Efficiency
20
25
RZ Efficiency
31
29
Eagles Offense vs Giants Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
26
Yards / Game
9
27
Passing Yards / Game
10
5
Rushing Yards / Game
9
29
EPA
EPA / Play
7
17
EPA / Pass
10
12
EPA / Rush
6
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
1
Interceptions / Game
24
3
Fumbles / Game
25
1
Turnover EPA / Game
8
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
10
4th Down Efficiency
1
20
RZ Efficiency
9
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Giants
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
3-7
O/U
Eagles
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-6
O/U