JAXJaguars
12-1
24
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
39°F
5 mph
14
CLEBrowns
2-12
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
39°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
0
14
3
7
24
Browns
0
7
7
0
14
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
442
269
Total Plays
67
67
Yards / Play
6.6
4.0
EPA / Play
+0.13
-0.06
Passing Yards
261
197
Comp/Att
21/33(64%)
24/41(59%)
Yards / Pass
7.9
4.8
EPA / Pass
+0.32
-0.07
Rushing Yards
181
72
Rush Attempts
33
20
Yards / Rush
5.5
3.6
EPA / Rush
+0.07
-0.26
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
19
Passing 1st downs
13
12
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
43%
44%
3rd Down Conversions
6
7
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
67%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-2.81
-3.62
Sacks
1
6
Sack Yards
-6
-44
Sack EPA
-1.35
-8.21
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
52
--
Penalty EPA
-5.39
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Browns Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
29
Yards / Game
4
31
Passing Yards / Game
13
2
Rushing Yards / Game
1
31
EPA
EPA / Play
5
31
EPA / Pass
4
29
EPA / Rush
3
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
2
Interceptions / Game
2
31
Fumbles / Game
4
10
Turnover EPA / Game
30
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
31
4th Down Efficiency
17
29
RZ Efficiency
18
26
Browns Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
1
Yards / Game
31
3
Passing Yards / Game
24
6
Rushing Yards / Game
31
6
EPA
EPA / Play
24
4
EPA / Pass
27
4
EPA / Rush
17
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
21
Interceptions / Game
5
12
Fumbles / Game
17
5
Turnover EPA / Game
25
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
6
4th Down Efficiency
2
3
RZ Efficiency
1
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
10-0
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Browns
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U