JAXJaguars
13-1
14
TBD
Nissan Stadium
46°F
13 mph
41
TENTitans
11-3
TBD
Nissan Stadium
46°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jaguars
0
7
7
0
14
Titans
7
17
14
3
41
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
237
476
Total Plays
55
74
Yards / Play
4.3
6.4
EPA / Play
-0.07
+0.30
Passing Yards
172
--
Comp/Att
12/33(36%)
26/39(67%)
Yards / Pass
5.2
--
EPA / Pass
-0.37
+0.56
Rushing Yards
65
148
Rush Attempts
18
37
Yards / Rush
3.6
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.09
-0.04
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
26
Passing 1st downs
8
15
Rushing 1st downs
5
9
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
11%
61%
3rd Down Conversions
1
11
3rd Down Attempts
9
18
Red Zone %
33%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-9.19
--
Sacks
4
--
Sack Yards
-24
--
Sack EPA
-4.03
--
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
29
33
Penalty EPA
-1.09
-3.42
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
JAXJaguarsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jaguars Offense vs Titans Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
10
Yards / Game
4
17
Passing Yards / Game
13
17
Rushing Yards / Game
1
8
EPA
EPA / Play
5
18
EPA / Pass
4
24
EPA / Rush
3
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
29
Interceptions / Game
2
22
Fumbles / Game
4
3
Turnover EPA / Game
30
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
14
4th Down Efficiency
17
2
RZ Efficiency
18
19
Titans Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
1
Yards / Game
16
3
Passing Yards / Game
28
6
Rushing Yards / Game
10
6
EPA
EPA / Play
6
4
EPA / Pass
12
4
EPA / Rush
6
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
21
Interceptions / Game
1
12
Fumbles / Game
20
5
Turnover EPA / Game
29
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
6
4th Down Efficiency
5
3
RZ Efficiency
3
22
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jaguars
10-0
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Titans
8-2
SU
5-3-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U