NYJJets
-
48
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
017
DETLions
-
TBD
Ford Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
7
10
19
0
36
Lions
1
3
7
0
11
Spread
+7
Total
OVER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
349
339
Total Plays
59
67
Yards / Play
5.9
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.03
-0.65
Passing Yards
180
--
Comp/Att
16/21(76%)
29/52(56%)
Yards / Pass
8.6
--
EPA / Pass
+0.35
-0.46
Rushing Yards
169
39
Rush Attempts
36
15
Yards / Rush
4.7
2.6
EPA / Rush
-0.17
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
20
Passing 1st downs
10
15
Rushing 1st downs
7
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
43%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
25%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
6
Interceptions
1
5
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-8.02
-23.83
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-18
--
Sack EPA
-4.56
--
Penalties
7
3
Penalty Yards
49
15
Penalty EPA
-4.54
-1.54
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model72.8%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+153
Home nfelo
1,508
Away nfelo
1,422
Home Field
+56.4
Base HFA
+56.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+10.8
Home QB Adjustment
+5.2
Away QB Adjustment
-5.6
Market Regression
+15.5
Final Difference
171.0
Model Spread
-7.0
Quarterbacks
S. Darnold
Proj. Value
-0.6
Team Elo Adj
-5.6
No recent game data available
J. Stafford
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+5.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
16
Yards / Game
29
9
Passing Yards / Game
23
25
Rushing Yards / Game
26
11
EPA
EPA / Play
29
15
EPA / Pass
27
24
EPA / Rush
31
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
14
Interceptions / Game
29
29
Fumbles / Game
22
28
Turnover EPA / Game
4
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
12
4th Down Efficiency
19
11
RZ Efficiency
30
11
Lions Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
25
29
Yards / Game
24
25
Passing Yards / Game
20
11
Rushing Yards / Game
23
26
EPA
EPA / Play
23
18
EPA / Pass
22
20
EPA / Rush
25
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
19
Interceptions / Game
14
16
Fumbles / Game
18
18
Turnover EPA / Game
17
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
2
4th Down Efficiency
9
25
RZ Efficiency
25
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
2-8
SU
5-4-1
ATS
6-4
O/U
Lions
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
6-4
O/U