NYJJets
-
14
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
81°F
019
CARPanthers
-
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
81°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
0
0
8
6
14
Panthers
0
16
0
3
19
Spread
-3.5
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
254
381
Total Plays
62
63
Yards / Play
4.1
6.0
EPA / Play
-0.18
-0.10
Passing Yards
207
270
Comp/Att
20/38(53%)
24/35(69%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
7.7
EPA / Pass
-0.20
+0.08
Rushing Yards
47
111
Rush Attempts
18
27
Yards / Rush
2.6
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.21
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
18
Passing 1st downs
10
14
Rushing 1st downs
4
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
31%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
100%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-5.84
-3.92
Sacks
6
1
Sack Yards
-51
-9
Sack EPA
-9.31
-2.95
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
--
38
Penalty EPA
--
-5.16
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.5%
Model63.7%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+134
Home nfelo
1,463
Away nfelo
1,374
Home Field
+60.5
Base HFA
+44.8
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+15.7
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-15.8
Home QB Adjustment
-17.9
Away QB Adjustment
-2.1
Market Regression
-7.3
Final Difference
97.9
Model Spread
-3.5
Quarterbacks
Z. Wilson
Proj. Value
-3.7
Team Elo Adj
-2.1
No recent game data available
S. Darnold
Proj. Value
-0.6
Team Elo Adj
-17.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
20
Yards / Game
26
2
Passing Yards / Game
13
1
Rushing Yards / Game
25
18
EPA
EPA / Play
25
7
EPA / Pass
29
12
EPA / Rush
13
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
5
Interceptions / Game
29
27
Fumbles / Game
7
18
Turnover EPA / Game
9
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
8
4th Down Efficiency
23
18
RZ Efficiency
20
31
Panthers Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
32
Yards / Game
30
32
Passing Yards / Game
29
16
Rushing Yards / Game
20
29
EPA
EPA / Play
32
32
EPA / Pass
32
32
EPA / Rush
17
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
4
Interceptions / Game
32
30
Fumbles / Game
13
18
Turnover EPA / Game
1
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
27
4th Down Efficiency
31
26
RZ Efficiency
25
19
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
2-8
SU
6-4
ATS
4-6
O/U
Panthers
2-8
SU
6-4
ATS
5-5
O/U