NYJJets
0-13
23
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
020
LARRams
9-4
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
7
6
10
0
23
Rams
0
3
7
10
20
Spread
+17
Total
UNDER
44.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
289
303
Total Plays
64
56
Yards / Play
4.5
5.4
EPA / Play
-0.10
-0.27
Passing Yards
196
189
Comp/Att
22/31(71%)
22/34(65%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
5.6
EPA / Pass
+0.12
-0.33
Rushing Yards
93
114
Rush Attempts
31
19
Yards / Rush
3.0
6.0
EPA / Rush
-0.16
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
16
Passing 1st downs
11
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
41%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
7
2
3rd Down Attempts
17
11
Red Zone %
50%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-6.54
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-11
-20
Sack EPA
-2.99
-4.62
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
61
43
Penalty EPA
-8.97
-3.35
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-17.0
Current
-17.0
Model
-17.0
Win Probability
Market90.9%
Model90.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+394
Home nfelo
1,615
Away nfelo
1,256
Home Field
+7.4
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+1.1
Net QB Adjustment
+27.1
Home QB Adjustment
+6.7
Away QB Adjustment
-20.4
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
399.8
Model Spread
-17.0
Quarterbacks
S. Darnold
Proj. Value
-0.6
Team Elo Adj
-20.4
J. Goff
Proj. Value
+2.5
Team Elo Adj
+6.7
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Rams Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
2
Yards / Game
32
1
Passing Yards / Game
25
3
Rushing Yards / Game
22
4
EPA
EPA / Play
32
1
EPA / Pass
32
1
EPA / Rush
28
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
23
Interceptions / Game
23
13
Fumbles / Game
5
16
Turnover EPA / Game
19
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
4
4th Down Efficiency
30
7
RZ Efficiency
32
12
Rams Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
26
Yards / Game
17
24
Passing Yards / Game
16
15
Rushing Yards / Game
11
12
EPA
EPA / Play
26
24
EPA / Pass
20
29
EPA / Rush
24
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
9
Interceptions / Game
16
23
Fumbles / Game
19
13
Turnover EPA / Game
9
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
23
4th Down Efficiency
28
5
RZ Efficiency
18
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
0-10
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Rams
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
2-8
O/U