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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. jets @ seahawks week 14, 2020

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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NYJ logo
NYJJets
0-12
3
TBD
Lumen Field
43°F
8 mph
40
SEASeahawks
8-4
SEA logo
TBD
Lumen Field
43°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
3
0
0
0
3
Seahawks
7
16
14
3
40

Spread

SEA logo
-16.5

Total

UNDER
49.5

Game Statistics

General
Jets logo
Seahawks logo
Total Yards
185
410
Total Plays
52
69
Yards / Play
3.6
5.9
EPA / Play
-0.47
+0.25
Passing Yards
116
236
Comp/Att
14/26(54%)
25/32(78%)
Yards / Pass
4.5
7.4
EPA / Pass
-0.22
+0.46
Rushing Yards
69
174
Rush Attempts
23
36
Yards / Rush
3.0
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.51
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
Jets logo
Seahawks logo
1st Downs
12
28
Passing 1st downs
8
18
Rushing 1st downs
3
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
33%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
0%
83%
Red Zone Conversions
--
5
Red Zone Attempts
2
6
Negative Plays
Jets logo
Seahawks logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.15
-3.67
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-16
-3
Sack EPA
-4.07
-0.98
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
50
35
Penalty EPA
-9.48
-1.48

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-13.5
Current
-16.5
Model
-15.0

Win Probability

Market90.4%
Model88.6%
Spread Pick
NYJ logo
Jets+16.5
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+5.3%
Cover Probability
55.2%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+285
Home nfelo
1,564
Away nfelo
1,303
Home Field
+7.4
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+1.1
Net QB Adjustment
+17.5
Home QB Adjustment
+2.3
Away QB Adjustment
-15.3
Market Regression
+38.1
Final Difference
356.3
Model Spread
-15.0

Quarterbacks

S. Darnold headshot

S. Darnold

Proj. Value
-0.0
Team Elo Adj
-15.3
Value
Ptile
12/22
-0.5
49
12/29
-2.8
33
09/13
-2.8
25
09/20
-0.3
44
09/27
-7.5
7
10/01
-0.3
44
10/25
-15.0
0
11/01
-2.4
27
11/29
-9.0
4
12/06
-1.4
34
R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+2.3
Value
Ptile
09/27
6.8
88
10/04
2.1
59
10/11
2.2
61
10/25
6.8
87
11/01
7.8
91
11/08
1.9
58
11/15
-5.8
12
11/19
1.8
57
11/30
0.4
49
12/06
-2.1
28

Team Matchup Ranks

Jets Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Jets logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
32
16
Yards / Game
32
22
Passing Yards / Game
25
31
Rushing Yards / Game
22
5

EPA

EPA / Play
32
14
EPA / Pass
32
22
EPA / Rush
28
7

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
12
4
Interceptions / Game
23
14
Fumbles / Game
5
17
Turnover EPA / Game
19
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
31
26
4th Down Efficiency
30
4
RZ Efficiency
32
18
Seahawks Offense vs Jets Defense
Seahawks logo
Jets logo

Total

Points / Game
7
26
Yards / Game
18
24
Passing Yards / Game
7
15
Rushing Yards / Game
12
12

EPA

EPA / Play
6
24
EPA / Pass
12
29
EPA / Rush
7
3

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
26
9
Interceptions / Game
22
23
Fumbles / Game
2
13
Turnover EPA / Game
14
15

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
27
23
4th Down Efficiency
18
5
RZ Efficiency
3
14

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NYJ logo

Jets

0-10
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/27
-29
L
L
U
10/01
-9
L
L
O
10/11
-20
L
L
U
10/18
-24
L
L
U
10/25
-8
L
W
U
11/01
-26
L
L
U
11/09
-3
L
W
O
11/22
-6
L
W
O
11/29
-17
L
L
U
12/06
-3
L
W
O
SEA logo

Seahawks

6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/27
7
W
W
O
10/04
8
W
W
U
10/11
1
W
L
U
10/25
-3
L
L
O
11/01
10
W
W
O
11/08
-10
L
L
O
11/15
-7
L
L
U
11/19
7
W
W
U
11/30
6
W
L
U
12/06
-5
L
L
U