NYJJets
0-12
3
TBD
Lumen Field
43°F
8 mph
40
SEASeahawks
8-4
TBD
Lumen Field
43°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
3
0
0
0
3
Seahawks
7
16
14
3
40
Spread
-16.5
Total
UNDER
49.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
185
410
Total Plays
52
69
Yards / Play
3.6
5.9
EPA / Play
-0.47
+0.25
Passing Yards
116
236
Comp/Att
14/26(54%)
25/32(78%)
Yards / Pass
4.5
7.4
EPA / Pass
-0.22
+0.46
Rushing Yards
69
174
Rush Attempts
23
36
Yards / Rush
3.0
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.51
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
12
28
Passing 1st downs
8
18
Rushing 1st downs
3
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
33%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
12
11
Red Zone %
0%
83%
Red Zone Conversions
--
5
Red Zone Attempts
2
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-5.15
-3.67
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-16
-3
Sack EPA
-4.07
-0.98
Penalties
7
4
Penalty Yards
50
35
Penalty EPA
-9.48
-1.48
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-13.5
Current
-16.5
Model
-15.0
Win Probability
Market90.4%
Model88.6%
Spread Pick
Jets+16.5
Expected Value
+5.3%
Cover Probability
55.2%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+284
Home nfelo
1,564
Away nfelo
1,305
Home Field
+7.4
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+1.1
Net QB Adjustment
+17.5
Home QB Adjustment
+2.3
Away QB Adjustment
-15.3
Market Regression
+37.8
Final Difference
356.0
Model Spread
-15.0
Quarterbacks
S. Darnold
Proj. Value
-0.6
Team Elo Adj
-15.3
R. Wilson
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+2.3
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Total
Points / Game
32
16
Yards / Game
32
22
Passing Yards / Game
25
31
Rushing Yards / Game
22
5
EPA
EPA / Play
32
14
EPA / Pass
32
22
EPA / Rush
28
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
4
Interceptions / Game
23
14
Fumbles / Game
5
17
Turnover EPA / Game
19
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
26
4th Down Efficiency
30
4
RZ Efficiency
32
18
Seahawks Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
26
Yards / Game
18
24
Passing Yards / Game
7
15
Rushing Yards / Game
12
12
EPA
EPA / Play
6
24
EPA / Pass
12
29
EPA / Rush
7
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
9
Interceptions / Game
22
23
Fumbles / Game
2
13
Turnover EPA / Game
14
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
23
4th Down Efficiency
18
5
RZ Efficiency
3
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
0-10
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Seahawks
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U