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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. packers @ 49ers week 14, 2006

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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GB logo
GBPackers
4-8
30
TBD
Candlestick Park
58°F
15 mph
19
SF49ers
5-7
SF logo
TBD
Candlestick Park
58°F
15 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Packers
7
10
7
6
30
49ers
3
3
7
6
19

Game Statistics

General
Packers logo
49ers logo
Total Yards
420
340
Total Plays
69
55
Yards / Play
6.1
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.11
-0.12
Passing Yards
281
194
Comp/Att
22/34(65%)
12/29(41%)
Yards / Pass
8.3
6.7
EPA / Pass
+0.34
-0.24
Rushing Yards
139
146
Rush Attempts
34
25
Yards / Rush
4.1
5.8
EPA / Rush
-0.14
-0.00
Downs & Conversions
Packers logo
49ers logo
1st Downs
19
13
Passing 1st downs
12
8
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
40%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
25%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Packers logo
49ers logo
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-13.23
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-12
-7
Sack EPA
-0.95
-1.99
Penalties
2
4
Penalty Yards
10
25
Penalty EPA
-1.15
-3.29

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
GB logo
GBPackersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Packers Offense vs 49ers Defense
Packers logo
49ers logo

Total

Points / Game
22
32
Yards / Game
9
26
Passing Yards / Game
11
26
Rushing Yards / Game
23
18

EPA

EPA / Play
27
30
EPA / Pass
15
31
EPA / Rush
29
23

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
29
13
Interceptions / Game
20
22
Fumbles / Game
26
9
Turnover EPA / Game
8
9

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
11
30
4th Down Efficiency
22
12
RZ Efficiency
31
15
49ers Offense vs Packers Defense
49ers logo
Packers logo

Total

Points / Game
24
25
Yards / Game
26
13
Passing Yards / Game
31
27
Rushing Yards / Game
6
13

EPA

EPA / Play
25
12
EPA / Pass
25
8
EPA / Rush
17
20

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
13
28
Interceptions / Game
13
2
Fumbles / Game
30
22
Turnover EPA / Game
10
30

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
26
4
4th Down Efficiency
10
27
RZ Efficiency
29
19

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

GB logo

Packers

4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/24
7
W
W
P
10/02
-22
L
L
P
10/08
-3
L
L
P
10/22
10
W
W
P
10/29
17
W
W
P
11/05
-14
L
L
P
11/12
6
W
W
P
11/19
-35
L
L
P
11/27
-10
L
P
P
12/03
-28
L
L
P
SF logo

49ers

4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/24
-14
L
L
P
10/01
-41
L
L
P
10/08
14
W
W
P
10/15
-29
L
L
P
10/29
-31
L
L
P
11/05
6
W
W
P
11/12
6
W
W
P
11/19
6
W
W
P
11/26
-3
L
W
P
12/03
-24
L
L
P