CARPanthers
5-9
6
TBD
Lucas Oil Stadium
70°F
038
INDColts
6-8
TBD
Lucas Oil Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
0
3
3
0
6
Colts
8
7
3
8
26
Spread
-7
Total
UNDER
46
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
286
324
Total Plays
71
62
Yards / Play
4.0
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.36
+0.15
Passing Yards
199
106
Comp/Att
28/45(62%)
14/27(52%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
3.9
EPA / Pass
-0.21
-0.28
Rushing Yards
87
218
Rush Attempts
21
32
Yards / Rush
4.1
6.8
EPA / Rush
-0.19
+0.43
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
25
Passing 1st downs
13
6
Rushing 1st downs
6
14
Penalty 1st downs
--
5
3rd Down %
29%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
11
Red Zone %
0%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-6.47
--
Sacks
5
3
Sack Yards
-37
-13
Sack EPA
-11.46
-3.71
Penalties
6
--
Penalty Yards
46
--
Penalty EPA
-9.07
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
INDColtsFavored
Opening
-6.5
Current
-7.0
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model70.5%
Spread Pick
Panthers+7.0
Expected Value
+3.4%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+120
Home nfelo
1,479
Away nfelo
1,476
Home Field
+62.6
Base HFA
+46.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+16.2
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+54.4
Home QB Adjustment
-0.8
Away QB Adjustment
-55.2
Market Regression
+3.3
Final Difference
151.6
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
W. Grier
Proj. Value
-5.3
Team Elo Adj
-55.2
No recent game data available
J. Brissett
Proj. Value
-2.1
Team Elo Adj
-0.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
18
Yards / Game
21
16
Passing Yards / Game
7
18
Rushing Yards / Game
14
5
EPA
EPA / Play
29
17
EPA / Pass
28
21
EPA / Rush
20
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
24
Interceptions / Game
30
6
Fumbles / Game
29
20
Turnover EPA / Game
3
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
27
4th Down Efficiency
12
10
RZ Efficiency
15
9
Colts Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
31
Yards / Game
25
24
Passing Yards / Game
25
26
Rushing Yards / Game
5
30
EPA
EPA / Play
18
25
EPA / Pass
23
17
EPA / Rush
2
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
1
Interceptions / Game
12
10
Fumbles / Game
22
20
Turnover EPA / Game
12
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
21
4th Down Efficiency
6
31
RZ Efficiency
3
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
3-7
SU
4-5-1
ATS
8-2
O/U
Colts
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U