CARPanthers
3-2
21
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
49°F
19 mph
17
PHIEagles
3-3
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
49°F
19 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
0
0
0
21
21
Eagles
0
10
7
0
17
Spread
+5
Total
UNDER
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
373
342
Total Plays
59
65
Yards / Play
6.3
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.18
+0.08
Passing Yards
252
284
Comp/Att
25/40(63%)
30/37(81%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
7.7
EPA / Pass
+0.19
+0.18
Rushing Yards
121
58
Rush Attempts
17
24
Yards / Rush
7.1
2.4
EPA / Rush
+0.41
+0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
21
Passing 1st downs
13
14
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
45%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
11
12
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-2.76
Sacks
2
4
Sack Yards
-19
-26
Sack EPA
-3.52
-7.52
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
78
--
Penalty EPA
-7.65
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-5.0
Model
-5.0
Win Probability
Market67.1%
Model67.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+149
Home nfelo
1,556
Away nfelo
1,498
Home Field
+57.5
Base HFA
+57.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+33.6
Home QB Adjustment
+52.0
Away QB Adjustment
+18.5
Market Regression
+1.8
Final Difference
123.8
Model Spread
-5.0
Quarterbacks
C. Newton
Proj. Value
-2.3
Team Elo Adj
+18.5
C. Wentz
Proj. Value
-1.8
Team Elo Adj
+52.0
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
9
Yards / Game
9
23
Passing Yards / Game
17
29
Rushing Yards / Game
4
6
EPA
EPA / Play
9
22
EPA / Pass
14
22
EPA / Rush
4
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
22
Interceptions / Game
25
25
Fumbles / Game
9
25
Turnover EPA / Game
19
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
8
4th Down Efficiency
26
20
RZ Efficiency
12
1
Eagles Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
20
Yards / Game
17
16
Passing Yards / Game
11
23
Rushing Yards / Game
30
12
EPA
EPA / Play
11
27
EPA / Pass
11
27
EPA / Rush
22
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
26
Interceptions / Game
21
16
Fumbles / Game
24
10
Turnover EPA / Game
12
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
20
4th Down Efficiency
16
18
RZ Efficiency
17
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Eagles
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U