
NEPatriots
-
TBD
Paycor Stadium
70°F
0CINBengals
-

TBD
Paycor Stadium
70°F
0Model
Projected Winner

NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Bengals Defense


Total
Points / Game
10
27
Yards / Game
14
30
Passing Yards / Game
5
16
Rushing Yards / Game
25
26
EPA
EPA / Play
9
24
EPA / Pass
3
24
EPA / Rush
27
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
4
Interceptions / Game
10
4
Fumbles / Game
29
25
Turnover EPA / Game
6
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
30
4th Down Efficiency
4
10
RZ Efficiency
8
24
Bengals Offense vs Patriots Defense


Total
Points / Game
30
10
Yards / Game
32
16
Passing Yards / Game
24
21
Rushing Yards / Game
32
2
EPA
EPA / Play
30
17
EPA / Pass
31
28
EPA / Rush
29
6
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
4
Interceptions / Game
29
8
Fumbles / Game
25
25
Turnover EPA / Game
1
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
19
4th Down Efficiency
1
4
RZ Efficiency
8
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

Patriots
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U

Bengals
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U