NEPatriots
2-1
17
TBD
FedExField
65°F
13 mph
20
WASCommanders
2-1
TBD
FedExField
65°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
3
0
7
7
17
Commanders
3
3
14
0
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
387
250
Total Plays
69
53
Yards / Play
5.6
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.00
-0.01
Passing Yards
281
134
Comp/Att
25/38(66%)
10/22(45%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
6.1
EPA / Pass
+0.23
-0.06
Rushing Yards
106
116
Rush Attempts
30
29
Yards / Rush
3.5
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.28
+0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
15
Passing 1st downs
16
7
Rushing 1st downs
5
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
47%
27%
3rd Down Conversions
7
3
3rd Down Attempts
15
11
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-12.73
--
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-8
-13
Sack EPA
-1.20
-2.57
Penalties
8
9
Penalty Yards
64
75
Penalty EPA
-3.13
-6.83
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
11
24
Yards / Game
15
25
Passing Yards / Game
18
7
Rushing Yards / Game
26
25
EPA
EPA / Play
15
28
EPA / Pass
9
22
EPA / Rush
29
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
4
Interceptions / Game
5
12
Fumbles / Game
18
8
Turnover EPA / Game
26
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
24
4th Down Efficiency
8
32
RZ Efficiency
28
30
Commanders Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
1
Yards / Game
23
7
Passing Yards / Game
15
27
Rushing Yards / Game
25
3
EPA
EPA / Play
17
2
EPA / Pass
19
3
EPA / Rush
15
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
25
Interceptions / Game
13
1
Fumbles / Game
19
22
Turnover EPA / Game
23
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
23
8
4th Down Efficiency
6
6
RZ Efficiency
14
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Commanders
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U