NEPatriots
1-0
17
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
90°F
5 mph
27
CARPanthers
0-1
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
90°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
7
0
4
0
11
Panthers
7
10
3
7
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
288
250
Total Plays
62
63
Yards / Play
4.6
4.0
EPA / Play
-0.17
-0.04
Passing Yards
249
146
Comp/Att
23/44(52%)
11/26(42%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
5.6
EPA / Pass
-0.11
-0.40
Rushing Yards
39
104
Rush Attempts
16
36
Yards / Rush
2.4
2.9
EPA / Rush
-0.29
-0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
17
Passing 1st downs
11
6
Rushing 1st downs
1
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
29%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
4
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-11.16
-8.24
Sacks
2
1
Sack Yards
-21
-8
Sack EPA
-4.95
-1.13
Penalties
12
6
Penalty Yards
86
--
Penalty EPA
-11.13
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
4
Yards / Game
6
2
Passing Yards / Game
7
13
Rushing Yards / Game
23
6
EPA
EPA / Play
7
2
EPA / Pass
4
3
EPA / Rush
16
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
25
Interceptions / Game
16
4
Fumbles / Game
7
3
Turnover EPA / Game
16
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
19
4th Down Efficiency
3
5
RZ Efficiency
3
10
Panthers Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
17
Yards / Game
21
24
Passing Yards / Game
20
20
Rushing Yards / Game
16
7
EPA
EPA / Play
9
23
EPA / Pass
8
25
EPA / Rush
18
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
26
Interceptions / Game
21
26
Fumbles / Game
11
29
Turnover EPA / Game
19
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
22
4th Down Efficiency
27
3
RZ Efficiency
10
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
9-1
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Panthers
6-4
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U