NEPatriots
1-1
23
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
83°F
7 mph
20
PITSteelers
2-0
TBD
Acrisure Stadium
83°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Patriots
7
0
3
13
23
Steelers
10
0
3
7
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
425
269
Total Plays
74
55
Yards / Play
5.7
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.02
-0.10
Passing Yards
346
190
Comp/Att
31/41(76%)
12/28(43%)
Yards / Pass
8.4
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.10
-0.05
Rushing Yards
79
79
Rush Attempts
30
23
Yards / Rush
2.6
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.13
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
24
14
Passing 1st downs
19
7
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
50%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
8
3
3rd Down Attempts
16
13
Red Zone %
40%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-13.49
-0.82
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-26
-26
Sack EPA
-5.54
-3.83
Penalties
10
5
Penalty Yards
118
--
Penalty EPA
-11.73
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NEPatriotsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Patriots Offense vs Steelers Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
3
Yards / Game
6
7
Passing Yards / Game
7
29
Rushing Yards / Game
23
3
EPA
EPA / Play
7
6
EPA / Pass
4
8
EPA / Rush
16
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
19
Interceptions / Game
16
14
Fumbles / Game
7
6
Turnover EPA / Game
16
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
21
4th Down Efficiency
3
14
RZ Efficiency
3
7
Steelers Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
17
Yards / Game
14
24
Passing Yards / Game
24
20
Rushing Yards / Game
5
7
EPA
EPA / Play
8
23
EPA / Pass
2
25
EPA / Rush
8
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
32
26
Interceptions / Game
9
26
Fumbles / Game
4
29
Turnover EPA / Game
28
4
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
22
4th Down Efficiency
12
3
RZ Efficiency
4
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Patriots
8-2
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Steelers
9-1
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U