OAKRaiders
1-3
10
TBD
StubHub Center
75°F
10 mph
26
LACChargers
2-2
TBD
StubHub Center
75°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Raiders
0
3
0
7
10
Chargers
3
14
3
6
26
Spread
-5.5
Total
UNDER
52
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
289
412
Total Plays
49
59
Yards / Play
5.9
7.0
EPA / Play
-0.11
+0.21
Passing Yards
248
333
Comp/Att
24/33(73%)
22/27(81%)
Yards / Pass
7.5
12.3
EPA / Pass
-0.13
+0.71
Rushing Yards
41
79
Rush Attempts
13
31
Yards / Rush
3.2
2.5
EPA / Rush
-0.01
-0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
19
Passing 1st downs
10
13
Rushing 1st downs
3
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
36%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-9.58
--
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-20
-6
Sack EPA
-5.83
-2.41
Penalties
7
9
Penalty Yards
55
82
Penalty EPA
-6.62
-9.04
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-5.5
Model
-6.5
Win Probability
Market68.0%
Model71.2%
Spread Pick
Chargers-5.5
Expected Value
+3.8%
Cover Probability
54.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+199
Home nfelo
1,566
Away nfelo
1,407
Home Field
+31.1
Base HFA
+56.7
Divisional Adj
-25.6
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+8.7
Home QB Adjustment
+17.4
Away QB Adjustment
+8.7
Market Regression
-14.2
Final Difference
156.8
Model Spread
-6.5
Quarterbacks
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+8.7
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+17.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Raiders Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
28
11
Yards / Game
23
10
Passing Yards / Game
12
8
Rushing Yards / Game
25
10
EPA
EPA / Play
26
9
EPA / Pass
21
8
EPA / Rush
29
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
25
Interceptions / Game
8
18
Fumbles / Game
31
7
Turnover EPA / Game
5
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
19
4th Down Efficiency
28
23
RZ Efficiency
22
9
Chargers Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
6
32
Yards / Game
13
26
Passing Yards / Game
5
6
Rushing Yards / Game
18
30
EPA
EPA / Play
7
32
EPA / Pass
3
32
EPA / Rush
9
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
4
Interceptions / Game
11
14
Fumbles / Game
7
31
Turnover EPA / Game
26
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
30
4th Down Efficiency
1
28
RZ Efficiency
9
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Raiders
3-7
SU
4-5-1
ATS
2-8
O/U
Chargers
7-3
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U